zbyte64

Low key yes. So many Americans have this "well it doesn't affect me" attitude.

Sometimes the pictures are for your doctor.

Can bet on large swaths of people dieing but where's the bet that Trump will be assassinated? Don't they want an accurate forecast of that as well?

Ask a prediction market and watch someone take the odds into their own hands.

Teflon Don, like Epstein, collected pictures of powerful people doing "embarrassing" things. Unlike Epstein he didn't use a private island, he used hotels that catered to people with power.

And pax silica will lessen the geopolitical fallout by ensuring there is fab redundancy outside of Taiwan.

Since you are a software engineer you must know the difference between deterministic software like a spellchecker and something stochastic like an LLM. You must also understand the difference between a well defined process like a spellchecker and an undefined behavior like an LLM hallucinating. Now ask your LLM if comparing these two technologies in the way you are is a bad analogy. If the LLM says it is a good analogy then you are prompting it wrong. The fact that we can't agree on what an LLM should say on this matter and that we can get it to say either outcome demonstrates that an LLM cannot distinguish fact from fiction, rather it makes these determinations on what is effectively a vibe check.

But doctors and nurses’ minds effectively hallucinate just the same and are prone to even the most trivial of brain farts like fumbling basic math or language slip-ups

The difference is that the practitioner can distinguish the difference from hallucination from fact while an LLM cannot.

We can’t underestimate the capacity to have the strengths of a supercomputer at least acting as a double-checker on charting, can we?

A supercomputer is only as powerful as it's programming. This is avoiding the whole "if you understand the problem then you are better off writing a program than using an LLM" by hand waving in the word "supercomputer". The whole "train it better" doesn't get away from this fact either.

It's what happens when you are surrounded by yes men. Also they can never experience genuine love without wondering if the person is just there for their money.

A spellchecker doesn't hallucinate new words. LLMs are not the tool for this job, at best it might be able to take some doctor write up and encode it into a different format, ie here's the list of drugs and dosages mentioned. But if you ask it whether those drugs have adverse reactions, or any other question that has a known or fixed process for answering, then you will be better served writing code to reflect that process. LLMs are best for when you don't care about accuracy and there is no known process that could be codified. Once you actually understand the problem you are asking it to help with, you can achieve better accuracy and efficiency by codifying the solution.

Step 1: place a bet on a prediction market that Dr Oz will be alive past a certain date

Step 2: get others to place "bets"

Step 3: pew pew

Step 4: someone gets rich

Edit: this is why such markets should be illegal