Someone is mining on there with a large hashrate which is causing small miners to not be able to find shares consistently.
If you mine on p2pool you can increase your earnings significantly by joining the bonus hashrate raffle @ https://xmrvsbeast.com/
If someone is new to mining and has no idea what is going on they can use this GUI mining kit to get started https://github.com/Cyrix126/gupaxx
Yes, they are statistically sound I believe. The source on how the calculation is performed is published so you can review the formula being used.
If you think there is an error do let me know and I will evaluate.
There is a vanity address generator software. You let it run for a long time and it will find some.
๐๏ธ That's how it's done.
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Time to abandon centralized mining pools anyway, this is another good reason.