whithom

Well, the electoral college (assuming we can vote again) would be based on population. And based on by very small amount of research:

Blue Illinois: ~17-18 electoral votes

Red Illinois: ~3-4 electoral votes

The last time Illinois voted red was in 1988 for Bush.

Here is an estimate of the outcome from ChatGPT, if you’re into such things.

If Illinois were split into “Red Illinois” and “Blue Illinois,” it would likely be a boon for the Democratic side (the “Blues”) rather than the Republicans (the “Reds”). Here’s why:

1. Electoral Vote Distribution:

• Blue Illinois (urban and suburban areas, especially around Chicago) would retain most of the population and, therefore, the majority of Illinois’ current electoral votes.

• Red Illinois (primarily rural areas) would receive only a small number of electoral votes due to its lower population.

2. National Electoral Impact:

• Currently, Illinois’ electoral votes (all 21) reliably go to the Democratic candidate. If split, Blue Illinois would continue to deliver its substantial number of votes to Democrats.

• Red Illinois, with its few electoral votes, would be a small gain for Republicans but would not offset the significant Democratic advantage from Blue Illinois.

3. Practical Outcome:

• While Republicans might gain a small number of electoral votes from Red Illinois, Democrats would retain the larger share. This would effectively increase the Democratic advantage, as they would gain electoral votes from a smaller but reliable “blue” state and leave Republicans with only a minor gain.

In summary, a split would likely strengthen the Democratic position overall, giving them a solidly blue state (Blue Illinois) with substantial electoral power while only slightly increasing the Republican count.