perestroika

joined 2 years ago
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[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 2 points 3 weeks ago

100% prevention is probably unattainable, but in case of the childrens' camp an early word of competent instruction "get away from rivers and find shelter on high ground" would have probably helped a lot. Even if it would have woken up only 10% of the people, they could have woken up the rest.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 4 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Speculation:

  • Xi is losing power because his health is deteriorating
  • some members of the military loyal to him have been purged
  • as with the CCP, nothing is transparent, so nothing is predictable
  • some claim (or maybe hope) "maybe power will be handed to Wang Yang" (who doesn't seem a fan of iron-fisted central rule), but more likely that is wishful thinking
[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 4 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (2 children)

As a minimum, a local emergency deparment should have an automatic interface to the nearest weather radar. If a radar scan suggests "ocean falling down", people should be alerted with text messages in the same way they'd be alerted of a wildfire, chemical leak or incoming missile strike.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 1 points 3 weeks ago

Over here, no experience with ModBus yet. One customer might want an application, but in my own house, they're all air gapped and I program them with buttons. :)

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 6 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Disclaimer: I'm not a medical person, but I did learn some biology 20 years ago. I'm not competent enough to give a firm opinion, but I'll try to guess a bit.

  • all the listed cancer types affect internal organs
  • I notice that skin cancer isn't rising
  • I notice that esophagal, mouth and gastric cancer are not listed (but liver cancer is)
  • I conclude that risk of cancer hasn't risen equally for all cancers
  • I guess that toxicity from alcohol or tobacco is not involved, but could play a small role
  • several organs involved in digestion are listed, one should look at what people eat & drink
  • several reproductive organs are listed, one should look for dysregulation and hormonal unbalance

Overall, I would recommend to look for clues in these directions:

  • is there a shift in food / beverage types?
  • is there a shift in food / beverage processing (e.g. towards ultra processed)?
  • is there a shift in packaging (e.g. different metal for cans, different plastic or more plastic for trays)?
  • is there a shift in food preparation (e.g. different cooking methods)?
  • is there a shift in calorie intake or gut microbiome (e.g. bacterial species that produce toxins that eventually cause cancer)?
  • is there a chemical contamination of food or beverage sources?
  • is there a shift towards sedentary lifestyle?
[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 6 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

What I notice in the comments of the county officials: some of them claimed "it could not have been prevented, even with radar".

Here in Eastern Europe, a weather radar makes a full turn in 5 minutes and I think that faster ones exist in fancier places. An SMS takes at most 15 minutes to deliver, with some arriving in seconds and some trailing behind if the network is under load.

Also, I'm sure some US states get even tornados, and are damn quick at sending out alerts about those things... so the diagnosis is "as usual, people ignored a considerable risk". They had not set up automation. People could have been alerted, tech for that exists already for a decade or more.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 2 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Sadly, I'm not surprised.

Both sides have been clearly working on enhanced autonomy for a while now.

At first, it seemed that autonomous targeting would soon remain the only option in face of electronic warfare taking down a majority of drones. (The spectacular footage we've seen so far has mostly originated from a small minority of drones that got through. This is changing with fiber optics, of course.)

Then, tactical tricks (flying repeaters) and new guidance methods (fiber optic wire) gave direct guidance a fighting chance again, and somewhat postponed the need for high autonomy...

...but soon enough, an average drone will be capable of much more processing than a super expensive cruise missile from the 1990-ties, and this kind of weapons can be highly autonomous. You can give them the approximate location of a target and tell them to look for something - a ship, a train, an aircraft, a bridge, and of course vehicles with protruding pipes.

It will get nasty and complicated when they get cheap enough to target individual humans, because both common sense and international law insist that humans may be non-combatants and even combatants can surrender. A drone with enough mind to understand will be required to understand this, but there will be a motivation to cut corners. :(

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 37 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Fortunately "lost" in this case doesn't mean "killed or wounded", but "residing in other countries and capable of returning home".

Of course, if a considerable number of these people remain abroad after war has ended, then it's a loss indeed.

But already until then, it's big burden on the state budget (state has the same obligations to the old, but less working age taxpayers to gather income). However, there is also the effect of younger people working abroad sending money to their older relatives who remain home. To some degree, this might counterbalance the loss.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 10 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

The image caption does say "could double", but the PNAS article doesn't mention that. As far as I understand, the role of the Southern Ocean as a whole as a carbon sink is big (two-digit percentage of human-caused emissions). But the effect subdivides into biological (phytoplankton) and physical (currents downwelling CO2-rich water and upwelling CO2-poor water). And I'm not aware or capable of pointing out a balance sheet of how much each component does.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 10 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Yes. It seems to have turned a part of the ocean which acted as a carbon sink into a carbon source. They don't mention gigatonnes, but I would guess: a few (that's a lot).

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 4 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (2 children)

That's some quite chilling reading.

People never got information about what mistake or malfunction took their relatives' lives, but the leaked files draw a pattern of Teslas making erratic maneuvers when self-driving.

Also, there's a pattern that crashed Tesla drivers tend to burn to death without passers-by being able to help them - because passers-by depend on opening doors using their handle, not pulling people out through windows or cutting through structures with hydraulic scizzors. By the time firefighters arrive, the person is dead and the fire too hot to apprach.

I would never buy a Tesla anyway, since I like utmost simplicity in vehicles.

But the Tesla battery seems like a special invitation for trouble to me - a ridiculously high number of small lithium ion cells. Unless your production is 100% reliable, that's not a manageable configuration. A low number of large cells in manageable. Also, it seems that their battery is very likely to short in a crash. A low number of large cells have more limited options for shorting and more chances of the single series connection breaking. As soon as you have parallel cells, you're asking for trouble.

[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 2 points 4 weeks ago

I also tried.

Can't access the .se site currently (I've sometimes been able to). A mirror site which responded didn't have the PDF. So I can't form an opinion about the subject currently. :)

In my experience, linking to Sci-Hub is like that... like a lottery.

 

Living off grid often correlates with poorly accessible locations - because that's where the infrastructure is not.

On certain latitudes, especially near bodies of water, especially in remote locations - do not ask who the snow comes for - it always comes for you (and with a grudge). So, what ya gonna do?

Over here, a tractor being incomplete (it is great folly to go into winter with an incomplete tractor), snow is handled by an electric microcar. Since the microcar is made of thin sheet metal and plastic, it cannot carry a plow... but the rear axle being solid steel, it can pull one.

The plow is one year old, and was previously pulled by a gasoline car. It is made of construction steel: 8 mm L-profiles shaped like a letter A with double horizontal bars. The point of connection on top ensures it doesn't lift too much while plowing. It's currently fixed with an unprofessional and temporary C-clamp (there will be an U-bolt soon). It is pulled with a chain.

If snow is heavy, the L-profiles lift the plow on top of snow, and you have to plow the same road many times. Sometimes it veers off sideways. Generally, you have to catch the snow early with this system - if you're late, you're stuck. :)

Not many advantages, but dirt cheap. Don't go plowing public roads with such devices - it is nearly invisible to fellow drivers, and cops would get a seizure.

 

Some Chinese researchers have found a new catalyst for electrochemically reducing CO2. Multiple such catalysts are known, but so far, only copper favours reaction products with a carbon chain of at least 2 carbons (e.g. ethanol).

The new catalyst requires a specific arrangement of tin atoms on tin disulphate substrate, seems to work in a solution of potassium hydrogen carbonate (read: low temperature) and is 80% specific to producing ethanol - a very practical chemical feedstock and fuel.

The new catalyst seems stable enough (97% activity after 100 hours). Reaction rates that I can interpret into "good" or "bad" aren't found - it could be slow to work. The original is paywalled, a more detailed article can be found at:

Carbon-Carbon Coupling on a Metal Non-metal Catalytic Pair

Overall, it's nice to see some research into breaking down CO2 for energy storage, but there is nothing practical (industrial) on that front yet, only lab work.

 

To make no excessive claims, I have to admit I burnt a fair bit of wood during the night. In the morning however, around 9 o'clock, the solar fence (nominal power 2400 W) was giving 600 W and steaming vigorously. By 10 o'clock, it had thawed and gave 940 W. Later, other panel arrays took over and wattage decreased. The energy was used to run a heat pump.

P.S. Knowing that server resources aren't infinite, I hosted the image externally, I hope that hosting on "postimages.org" works smoothly.

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submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by perestroika@slrpnk.net to c/abolition@slrpnk.net
 

The short war which Azerbaijan waged against Armenian-populated Karabakh after a months-long blocade is over (Armenian separatists lost, and will likely get ethnically cleansed out of the region)...

...but in the aftermath, it's worth pointing out that several high-profile Azeris did speak against their government starting a war - and were repressed.

The most worrisome case is the chairman of the confederation of trade unions, Afiaddin Mammadov. A provocateur who had previously injured himself threw a knife at him, and cops arrested him immediately after that, claiming he had injured the provocateur.

 

To my knowledge, this is the second time a sample is returned from an asteroid to Earth - only preceded by Hayabusa-2 fetching a sample from asteroid Ryugu. The capsule has been found and the sample stabilized with nitrogen. Fetching the sample required 7 years, studying it will require a bit of time too.

It is too early to speculate whether interesting discoveries will follow, but Bennu is considered to be an interesting asteroid - likely not a break-up product, but something that represents the original composition of the solar system.

Bennu is also considered a hazardous space object, ranked high on the Palermo scale of impact risk and kinetic yield, so knowing what it's made of can be practically worthwhile.

More information here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OSIRIS-REx

 

The inverse vaccine, described in Nature Biomedical Engineering, takes advantage of how the liver naturally marks molecules from broken-down cells with “do not attack” flags to prevent autoimmune reactions to cells that die by natural processes.

PME researchers coupled an antigen — a molecule being attacked by the immune system— with a molecule resembling a fragment of an aged cell that the liver would recognize as friend, rather than foe. The team showed how the vaccine could successfully stop the autoimmune reaction associated with a multiple-sclerosis-like disease.

 

Most people would typically think than smelling a scent (unless it's a powerful poison or medicament) won't change much in a person's health... but apparently, a variation in the scent environment has effect on the human brain, especially if the person is already old and their senses are degrading. It has also been observed that viral infections damaging a person's olfactory nerves result in changes to the brain - with less input, the neural networks involved with scent tend to atrophy. Coinidentally, some neural networks involved with scent recognition are also involved with memory.

Prios studies already support the idea that training one's sense of smell helps older people avoid cognitive deterioration. This study brings highly significant statistical results and adds one bit - wakefulness is not required to benefit. Apparently, the stimulation a person receives from feeling different scents bypasses sleep (or maybe, even improves the quality of sleep).

 

Long story made short: apparently, the previous administration didn't really try (since it was Bolsonaro's, I am not surprised). EU import controls and financial interventions have also helped:

He believes the slowdown is due to a combination of factors: the resumption of embargoes and other protection activities by the government, improved technical analysis that reveal where problems are occurring more quickly and in more detail, greater involvement by banks to deny credit to landowners involved in clearing trees, and also wariness among farmers generated by the European Union’s new laws on deforestation-free trade. It may be no coincidence that deforestation has not fallen as impressively in the cerrado savanna, which is not yet covered by the EU’s controls.

 

Superconductivity is a condition of matter where resistance to electrical current disappears.

The first superconductors needed cooling to near the absolute zero. The next generation worked at temperatures of liquid nitrogen. A room-temperature atmospheric-pressure superconductor is a highly sought after material (e.g. it would expand possibilities to hande plasma for fusion research and make MRI machines easier to build).

A substance named LK-99 has recently caused interest in the research community. Its a copper-enriched lead apatite, typically made by reacting lead sulphate with copper phosphide. It is speculated to be superconductive at room temperature.

It is also thought that interesting properties are not inherent to the substance, but a particular kind of crystal lattice which this subtance obtains - if produced in certain ways.

The name LK-99 refers to Sukbae Lee and Ji-Hoon Kim, and the number refers to 1999, when these Korean researchers first stumbled upon it.

Studies back then were interrupted. They weren't certain of its properties and it was hard to make repeatably. When a researcher named Tong-Shik Choi died in 2017, he requested in his will that research into LK-99 be continued. The resources were found and his request was granted.

Then, other factors intervened, among them COVID. The first article was rejected by Nature because an extraordinary claim requires extraordinary proof. An article in Arxiv (not peer reviewed) at the end of July 2023 drew international attention, however.

Many persons and teams started attempting to replicate the experimental results. The process is still half way through, but considerable progress has been made.

  • Beijing University, school of material science + Beihang university: the experiment was made, but the effect could not be reproduced (they obtained a paramagnetic semiconductor of little interest)

  • Huazhong University, center for crystalline materials and micro/nanodevices: they obtained a diamagnetic crystal with interesting properties (repelled by a ferromagnet regardless of orientation, a property which a superconductor must have, but which is also shared by non-superconductive diamagnets)

  • National Physics Laboratory of India: failed to replicate the effect

  • Professor Sun Yue, South-Eastern University of China: got a weak diamagnetic crystal

  • Iris Alexandra (from Russia, plant physiologist): with an alternative production method, obtained a tiny but strongly diamagnetic crystal

  • Sinéad Griffin (Lawrence Berkley National Laboratory, from the US): published an article, attempting to theoretically explain how superconductivity might arise in the substance, explanatory tweet here

  • Junwen Lai (Shenyang National Material Science Laboratory, China): published an article about the electron structure of the substance, without opinion regarding superconductivity, with the opinion that gold doping would be better than copper doping

So, strong evidence is absent until now - we may have much merriness about nothing. There is a bunch of hypothesis and enough material to fit on a fingertip. :)

Background:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LK-99

 

I noticed that we have a community for talking about applied science and engineering in the form of c/technology, about climate science in the form of c/climate, but there didn't seem to be a field-neutral place to discuss any sort of science.

To fill the absence and introduce a few articles which caught my interest, I created it. I think I should make this thread stick to the top of the community, so meta-discussion could be easily located here.

 

People at MIT made a capacitor of cement and carbon black (not to be confused with soot). It worked and they are planning to test bigger samples. The construction of such capacitors is easy and they can be structural elements in architecture.

 

Summary: water + copper particles + room-temperature liquid metal (consisting of indium and gallium) = highly conductive gel with interesting properties.

Drying it slowly to evaporate the water allows simply getting conductive traces. Drying it fast allows printing objects that transform their shape when heated.

Commentary from me: indium and gallium are expensive metals. This is promising stuff, but not promising enough to go replicating at once. For most use cases, cables, soldering and PCBs are still the better option.

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