notGeronimo

joined 2 years ago
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[Stevens] Ja’Quan McMillian ALREADY is tied for the most tackles for a loss in a season by a cornerback in Broncos history. There are still seven games left in c/nfl@nfl.community
[Stevens] Ja’Quan McMillian ALREADY is tied for the most tackles for a loss in a season by a cornerback in Broncos history. There are still seven games left in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] notGeronimo@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (2 children)

I just can't get excited by things like "franchise record for TFLs by a corner." Wow, gee wiz, what a meaningless "record"

2022 Eagles 10-10 Against the Spread. 2023 Eagles 6-2-2 (so far). Does that mean a team is potentially being underestimated? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] notGeronimo@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

I'm the case of this post, they have 1 more win above the spread than random chance would suggest. Which is meaningless.

But, even if they were if they were 8-2 against the spread, rather than 6-2-2, we'd expect about 1.4 teams to hit that mark every year if every spread was 50/50 to hit. The sample sizes in football aren't big enough to matter and patterns in over/unders or spreads are better explained by variance than anything sticky or predictive almost every time.

2022 Eagles 10-10 Against the Spread. 2023 Eagles 6-2-2 (so far). Does that mean a team is potentially being underestimated? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] notGeronimo@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Only gambling addicts think record against the spread matters

Game Thread: Atlanta Falcons (4-5) at Arizona Cardinals (1-8) in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] notGeronimo@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Absolutely not PI

Game Thread: San Francisco 49ers (5-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2) in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] notGeronimo@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

Receiver runs into DB

Illegal contact on DB

Hooray