fearout

joined 2 years ago
[–] fearout@kbin.social 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Did you intend to paste or attach something? Your comment doesn't show anything on kbin besides that one sentence.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 7 points 2 years ago

Half of the deleted […] things are chatGPT mentioning its 2021 knowledge cutoff and suggesting double-checking that info. It was mentioned in this case as well.

If it were an autoGPT with internet access, I think these would prompt an automated online lookup to fact-check it.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 8 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

I agree with changing magazine to community, but mostly for the sake of consistency across the fediverse. Changing posts to microposts or something similar will add some clarity, so it might be a good idea as well.

But the rest seems fine to me as is tbh.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 10 points 2 years ago (3 children)

It didn’t really take 250 years though, early emissions were almost negligible. Most of it started like 60 years ago. You’re right that we’re not stopping it anytime soon, but the effective timelines are shorter than centuries.

Also, what’s your reasoning/source on a 10 bn “absolute” cap? It might be a cap while using modern farming, technologies and logistics, but it’s not absolute by any means. You mention beaming energy from space, then why not mention Eucomenopolis concepts that allow for trillions of people to inhabit Earth? :) Or simply once you have fusion, you can have vertical farms and Arcologies that can sustain a much larger population.

The issue isn’t that it’s impossible, rather that we’re not gonna develop any of this tech before humanity faces existential problems in many parts of the world.

Also, it’s weird that you got from “this temperature variance is minimal” and “this average is on the low side of comfortable” to “let’s get rid of 30% of population then”. o_O

[–] fearout@kbin.social 20 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (5 children)

Let me put it this way. The difference in average global temperature between the last ice age 100,000 years ago and pre-industrial earth around 100 years ago is just ~3.5C. The expected temperature rise due to recent climate change is about +3C.

A lot is going to happen, and much sooner than in 50 years.

With current trends, it looks like we’re heading towards severe climate destabilization, much more common extreme weather events, some parts of the world becoming uninhabitable for humans, lots of mass extinction events for many species, including those that humanity currently relies upon, and probable global famine.

The fact that it’s not a complete extinction doesn’t make it fine. Sure, Earth as a planet will be fine. But the civilisation has some really hard challenges coming up, and it’s currently not prepared for them.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 5 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Half of the deleted […] things are chatGPT mentioning its 2021 knowledge cutoff and suggesting double-checking that info. It was mentioned in this case as well.

If it were an autoGPT with internet access, I think these would prompt an automated online lookup to fact-check it.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 17 points 2 years ago (14 children)

Air temperature graph starts from 1940, that’s 83 years. Enough to gauge trends, since industrialization and copious CO2 emissions in particular are a pretty new thing.

But here’s some data starting from the year 0, in case you’re interested.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 2 points 2 years ago

I just found it kinda funny that the rule is actually wrong irl since yes is more common across the board, yet when formulated as a question the answer to it is no :)

[–] fearout@kbin.social 14 points 2 years ago (16 children)

Remember that since this is a planet-wide average, it includes places like the North Pole and Antarctica. Or just look at the graphs — it’s a pretty visual demonstration of how extremely abnormal recent temperature changes are.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 50 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Publications like these lower reddit’s future valuations though. I’m not sure whether a two-day uptick in users is worth that. My guess would be that it’s not.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 15 points 2 years ago (2 children)

Reposting my comment from another similar thread to show that this is easily fixable, and you should be wary of any non-reputable news source anyway.

So I was curious how current LLMs might handle this with proper instructions, so I asked chatGPT this: “What can you tell me about this Reddit post? Would you write a news article about this? Analyze the trustworthiness of this information:” and pasted the text from the post. Here’s a part of its reply:

This Reddit post appears to be discussing updates in the context of […] Hearthstone and World of Warcraft. However, there are several factual inaccuracies which raises questions about the trustworthiness of the post:

  1. Hearthstone was first released in 2014, not 1994. This error may be a typo or a misunderstanding by the user.
  1. Glorbo does not appear to be a known character in either the Hearthstone or World of Warcraft universe […]
  1. Chen Stormstout is a known character from the Warcraft universe, but the claim about him being the end boss of a new version of Karazhan doesn't match with any known information […]
  1. Dragonflight is not known as a video game developer or associated term in the context of Hearthstone or World of Warcraft […]

Given these points, it seems this post might be either a joke, speculation, or misinformation. […] So I'd recommend taking this information with a grain of caution and verify it from reliable sources.

[…] I would caution against using the information in this post for a news article due to the factual inaccuracies and lack of verifiable sources. Good journalism relies on accuracy, fact-checking, and use of reliable sources. This Reddit post contains several claims that contradict established knowledge, and without further verification from reliable, official sources (like game developers or official news releases), it would not be advisable to use this information in a news article.

So it’s not even an issue with current models, just bad setup. An autoGPT with several fact-checking questions added in can easily filter this stuff.

[–] fearout@kbin.social 6 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (2 children)

Can any headline that ends in a question mark be answered by the word no?
No.

Here’s a quote from that wiki page you linked to:

A 2018 study of 2,585 articles in four academic journals in the field of ecology similarly found that very few titles were posed as questions at all, with 1.82 percent being wh-questions and 2.15 percent being yes/no questions. Of the yes/no questions, 44 percent were answered "yes", 34 percent "maybe", and only 22 percent were answered "no".

In 2015, a study of 26,000 articles from 13 news sites on the World Wide Web, conducted by a data scientist and published on his blog, found that the majority (54 percent) were yes/no questions, which divided into 20 percent "yes" answers, 17 percent "no" answers and 16 percent whose answers he could not determine.

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