doylio

joined 2 years ago
[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 year ago

That information doesn't change anything I've said. He can be "trailing trump" and still not be the best candidate the dems could have

I think there are people on the fence (who generally decide the election) who would be swayed by Biden's apparent dementia

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The Polymarket prediction markets gives odds for who will win the presidential election and who will win the democratic nominee. We can compare the odds of each candidate and use Bayes Theorem to determine their chances of winning the presidency if they secure the DNC nomination.

Here's the results as of posting this comment:

Joe Biden: 27% Kamala Harris: 50% Michelle Obama: 100% Gavin Newsom: 66% Other: 50%

Obviously this doesn't work perfectly (the Michelle Obama example especially is bizarre), but there is over $300M behind these numbers so people seem to think they're at least somewhat accurate.

TLDR: there is a lot of money that thinks Joe Biden is one of the worst options

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

You don't think if Biden stepped down and it was an open primary there wouldn't be some good options?

Pete Buttigeig, Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, anyone under 60 would make Trump look like a dottering old man in comparison

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 2 points 1 year ago (20 children)

I don't think the opinion "the man who has control of the nuclear arsenal is showing signs of senility and should not serve another 4 years regardless of who replaces him" is not an unreasonable one

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 year ago

The real question is, how can we avoid the maple leaf being griefed?

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 14 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Here's the girl's facebook post since it wasn't linked in the article: https://www.facebook.com/emma.maclean.376/posts/1624020878439140?ref=embed_post

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The powers that be will likely push for cashless society because it gives them more surveillance & control

If credit/debit cards were the norm and cash was invented today, it would likely be outlawed down because criminals/terrorists/child kidnappers will use if for nefarious purposes

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's crazy that they change the weights on these indexes. How are you supposed to get an accurate inflation number if you keep moving the goal posts

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 year ago

I don't like it

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Online market places to be jointly and severally liable for anything on their sites

This should be something AI can do now. Give it a list of what kinds of ads are not allowed, and ask it if the contents of this ad are acceptable

[–] doylio@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 year ago

Everyone is the just the product of luck

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