I don't hate AI. However, I:
- Am concerned about the labor displacement it may cause--though I am skeptical it will be as widespread as currently feared. I think many of the companies that have cut workers already will end up regretting it in the medium term.
- Am convinced that the massive, circular investment in this technology has produced an economic bubble that will burst in the coming years. Because we have so little insight into private credit markets, we don't know to what degree retail and commercial banks will be exposed, and thus can't anticipate the potential damage to the broader economy.
- Am fatigued (but unsurprised) that the US government is not considering thoughtful regulation that anticipates the disruption that AI is likely to cause.
- Am cognizant of its current limitations.
- Do not currently believe that AGI is imminent or even guaranteed. I think elites peddling this notion may be captured by highly motivated reasoning. In some cases, it seems like a bit of a belief system.
Even if this were true--which I am skeptical that it is--we cannot wrest our republic from the brink by winning every election by wide margins. If we can't find a way to reconcile the degree to which we can't agree on a basic set of facts and institute government that is responsive to the needs of the people, then the seemingly impending authoritarian age will come to pass.