I mean believe what you want but I’m going to believe the people with actual intelligence services. If this was a one off comment then yeah dismiss it, but it seems pretty unanimous among the people who’s opinions have weight behind them. Even Zelensky at this point is saying they’re doing everything they can to not retreat.
Tunnelvision
joined 2 years ago
Why won’t they understand that the future looks like shit to the rest of us?
France is the one I’m worried about. I still think macron is going to send troops to Odessa and Kyiv to try to stop the Russians from advancing for fear of killing nato troops. Problem being Russia has been preparing for war with nato the entire time.
People need to keep in mind Russias performance in the war is a strategy, not doctrine. If Russia was engaging doctrinally Ukraine would be Russia today and all the western intelligence reports admit this, but Russia didn’t want to take the high number of casualties that would necessitate. The approach they took in Ukraine is meant to completely collapse the Ukrainian army, and what these officials are saying is they highly suspect the UAF will collapse by the fall. There’s no real reason not to believe it. Match that along with supposedly large swaths of territory being taken I don’t see why Odessa is off the table.
They never wanted to occupy it. My guess was they didn’t want to completely fuck rump Ukraine after the war was over, but now they don’t care.
You’ve met the man who wants to start world war 3?
Okay, but that just seems like what I described but with extra steps? Taking your kids camping and being a trusted chaperone. Also that pretty much negates the benefit the other user described which is you get to reinvent yourself because no one knows you. Can’t really reinvent yourself when you’re surrounded by known peers. Might as well cut the middle man and just take your kids out yourself.
And explain to me how any of that is the United States business? Chinas stance towards Taiwan was peaceful reunification until the US made it pretty obvious it was going to be involved.
Scott Ritter has interviewed Russian officials both military and civilian and they seem pretty set on making large movements the second the ground is sufficiently dry, so like late April early May. Further than that on a military level they expect to have this wrapped up militarily by the fall. Only thing stoping them is if the west intervenes militarily since that would change the calculation obviously.
Like I said, I see the appeal, and genuinely I do not think of myself as a helicopter parent, but the idea of giving strangers nearly unlimited access to your kid for idk I assume weeks at a time while you don’t is weird. That’s why I said I’d rather take them camping and let them run around in the woods, but be around if needed.
I know, but summer camps are not the only way to do that. Mostly kids just want to have their interests be supported by their parents without too much prying in my experience. Kids socialize on their own time and in their own ways. I never went to summer camp and neither did any of my friends really so we all just hung out. I do get the appeal of summer camps though and maybe my opinion would be different had I gone, but I feel like as a kid I’d rather be in the woods with my friends and a trusted chaperone than a bunch of strangers and as a parent I’d rather take my kids camping so I can keep an eye on them.
Japanese nationalists are always saying the dumbest shit. They’ll never understand they’re not going to convince anyone but other Japanese nationalists.