Since cluster munitions were used, a wide area would have been peppered with shrapnel. I'd argue that anything that wasn't destroyed is badly damaged enough that they're no longer fit for operations without repairs and maintenance.
Styxie
joined 2 years ago
Since it's in Kursk, I would say they're not ATACMS due to the fact that Western supplied munitions are given to Ukraine on the basis that they won't be used on Russian territory.
Strongly worded retaliatory measures from the Kremlin are incoming!
I see what you're getting at. Yes, I used superglue.
After getting badly owned by my own hubris, I really should start collecting Thousand Sons.
Please help me, my dog is very sick.
Call Me Maybe (2011) composer: Josh Ramsay, Carly Rae Jepsen, and Tavish Crowe. Lol, yes she did.
PSA Carly Rae Jepsen is lowkey one of the greatest popstars of all time. Every album she's released since call me maybe has been absolutely brilliant. More people need to listen to Carly.
Really interesting analysis by Anders. I hadn't considered how risky it is for Russia to gamble on their forces being able to hold out for another 6 months. If my very limited understanding of battle fatigue from WWII is correct, the average soldier can be expected to last about 200 days without rotation.
I think Russia committed their last VDV reserves about a month ago to the Tokmak front. The mobiks have been complaining in videos about their lack of rotation and poor supplies recently. I'd say best case scenario for Russia, the paratroopers will be able to hold out, but the mobiks and regular troops will break. I don't think that's a very good situation for the occupiers to be in.
It is also reported that the pilot died
That's maybe the best part. The list of people willing to fly over Ukrainian territory must be getting pretty short.
“I see nothing special in their return. Wagner is no longer a powerful force. Those who returned are far from being in a good fighting mood, as they know what to expect here,” Cherevatyi said. “Furthermore, they are now under the control of the Defense Ministry.
That's pretty important. It seems like Wagner had an effective command structure that allowed for successful offensive capabilities. The Russian military will just mindlessly march them into Ukraine's meatgrinder.
People and the media keep disparaging Russian tactics in places like Avdiivka and Bakhmut. But it has worked for them in the past, and I'm starting to think Avdiivka might get surrounded. Avdiivka is described as being 'like a fortress' which is exactly what they said about Bakhmut a year ago, and that fell to the same strategy. They'll just keep throwing more and more men into the meat grinder for as long as it takes, chipping away at Ukraine's defences every day, and eventually after a few months potentially take the town.
It reminds me of how Napoleon used to brag about how he could reliably recruit 15,000 men a week, which gave him confidence that he could keep waging war because France could sustain the losses. I wonder if something similar is being played out in Putin's calculations. Just keep recruiting and throwing away lives, and eventually you'll eek out a victory. It's fucking horrifying. Everyone expects Russia to run out of men and equipment at some point, but they never do. They seem to have an infinite supply of BMPs, men, and Kalashnikovs.