Nothing Ever Happens gang right for another 24 hours. Let's see what the next 24 hours has in store
Holy shit, I thought people who thought like this was an internet bit. Like I knew about QAnoners doing tenuous connections but the whole "43 is 30. Half of 30 is 15, and the square of 15 is 225. Take that away from the number of days in a year and you get 140. Now, I don't need to tell you that 140 is the sum of the squares of the first seven integers, and 7 itself has religious implications..." I thought that stuff was just comic exaggeration
US asks Venezuela to ask Cuba to ask the DPRK to ask Yemen to ask Syria to ask Laos to ask Russia to ask China to ask Iran to pwetty pwease not give Israel consequences for genocide; god forbid settler-colonialist states do anything
would be pretty funny if Iran just kept this up for a couple months. like, they'd have to get closer and closer to the edge each time or it'd just be more readily ignored, but watching Zionists in a superposition of saying how they're gonna destroy Iran and turn Tehran into a barren ashy desert while also utterly shitting their pants at the prospect of a war with Iran and trying to gather sympathy for being "victims" is pretty entertaining
if Iran strikes Israel then Iran would be a terrorist warmongering bloodthirsty savage regime that cannot solve any problem in any other way than violence, and if Iran doesn't strike Israel then Iran is a paper tiger reliant solely on scattered proxy groups whose influence in the Middle East is rapidly declining.
hasbara is so fucking boring now, dude
yep. kinda anticlimatic but Iran has nothing to gain from letting Israel get what they wanted when they hit the consulate in the first place - an excuse for the US to get even more directly involved, which would ultimately still fail like all their imperialist adventures but would make the conflict drag on for years by the simple amount of money and (albeit dwindling) resources the global hegemon can pile in. The Resistance continues to tighten the screws on Israel, it's the closest the entity has been to collapsing since it was founded, so why massively escalate and squander the situation? we see the same strategy of attrition working wonderfully against Israel as it is in Ukraine.
This is basically my prediction. Iran has no real reason to escalate massively, because the Resistance is winning. Hamas is still perfectly intact even after 6 months of brutal fighting and carrying out massive ambushes; the US is the closest they've been to being forced out of Iraq and Syria; the US is also incapable of dealing with Ansarallah and protecting critical sea shipping routes; the combination of the war and the blockade is having a massive impact on Israel's economy and social structure which is being fractured as they continue to fail in the war; Hezbollah continues to pose an existential threat to Israel just by themselves; Saudi Arabia, a key US ally, is being pulled to neutrality; and the world is the most anti-Israel it's been in decades.
Israel did the Damascus strike on the embassy because they were desperate and feel the need to escalate, because they are losing and need to force the United States into the war. Iran need only respond with missile strikes that originate in Iraq or Syria - not start bombarding Tel Aviv from Iranian territory itself. This is what a rational actor would do. The issue is that Israel, on the other side of the war, is not a rational actor. They are a genocidal Nazi ethnostate with dreams of conquering and settling the Middle East under ubermensch lebensraum, but backed up against the wall and tens of thousands of settlers displaced due to a buffer zone in their own territory, commanded by Hitler-but-farce who desperately wants to avoid going to jail and trying to control a fracturing coalition. There is nothing rational about their position.
I'm very conflicted on Corbyn, because on the one hand he is one of the few politicians on the planet outside of a socialist country that I do have genuine fondness for, but on the other hand, his leadership simply wasn't that effective. He might have won in 2019 had the media not totally banded against him, but he should have been much stricter on the party. It's the Western "anti-authoritarian" liberal brainworms in action I suppose - you enact any discipline as a left-winger and an instant later, people are photoshopping ushankas and Stalin's mustache onto you, but that's just what you need to do as a goddamn leader sometimes, and he's simply not a very good leader in that regard. So I don't think it would be a good idea for him to actually lead some kind of third party. Create one with his influence, absolutely - and he's a coward for not doing that - but actually lead it? Unless he's learned his lessons, then no.
It's a shame that Galloway has his socially conservative views, because he's exactly the kind of brash personality that I and many others have been wanting for so long.
Depends what you mean I guess. They have thousands of years of history as bordering nations so I imagine there's been tense times here and there but as far as I'm aware, things have been mostly chill up until China became an economic powerhouse and gave India big trade deficits, which is a fairly understandable thing to get antsy about. So it doesn't seem the case to me that like, the West poisoned their relationship, but more that there were already increasing tensions with the economy and Tibet and the West is just taking advantage of it. Personally I'd be very surprised if it ever turned into a real warzone - for one thing, the terrain fucking sucks - but I can totally imagine India giving the US some significant if perhaps covert help if Taiwan ever pops off
personally if I was Iran and I wanted to develop nukes, I wouldn't tell anybody I was doing it and only when I was pretty sure I had them, or was at the point where I had to do a nuclear test (which will virtually certainly be detected regardless of how it's done), would I say that I had nukes. so it's possible that Iran is actually constructing nukes right now and will only reveal them if the conflict reaches a critical point, of which the recent Israeli strike was a bold/idiotic step towards. but the constant boy-who-cried-wolf effect of "IRAN IS 0.45 NANOSECONDS FROM NUCLEAR WEAPONS AND WE MUST DO SOMETHING ABOUT THIS!" will mean that we can't really trust rumors in the same way that we could (even if many of us on Hexbear didn't) when US intelligence agencies were correctly predicting a Russian invasion of Ukraine
This development occurred after the Turkish ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) suffered a defeat in the 31 March local elections, losing votes to the Turkish Islamist New Welfare Party (YRP), which managed to secure victories over the AKP in several cities. There is a consensus that the country’s economic problems, including declining real pensions and salaries amid runaway inflation, played a primary role in the AKP’s electoral defeat.
While Turkey’s continuing trade with Israel was not the biggest issue prompting conservative voters to stay home or switch parties, it was a factor among others, which even Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan acknowledged during a party meeting earlier this week on the election results, according to party sources. Speaking about the AKP’s worst election defeat since 2002, Erdogan said on last week: “Unfortunately, even on an issue like the Gaza crisis, for which we did everything we could and paid the price, we failed to fend off political attacks and convince some people.”
an ominous omen for various western democracies who are entering elections this year
it's a strategy where you're correct 95% of the time but when you're wrong, you're REALLY wrong