What they really want is for the UA to fully unleash things like HIMARS on civilian targets deep inside Russia, like they did in Donetsk not so long ago.
so basically yet again trying the approach of making people so upset with Putin not protecting them that they overthrow him? wasting ammo on civilians doesn't seem productive otherwise.
unless you/they're talking about hitting factories and such?
It does feel like the strikes being timed after major anti-Israel events (e.g. the ICC ruling, the ICJ ruling, etc) is meant to evoke an abuser-esque feeling of "Look at what you made me do."
But it feels like it goes even further than that; it feels like: "You ruling against us is the thing that killed those refugees. You killed those people, not us. If you hadn't ruled against us, those children would still be alive. Those deaths are on your head." It's a very psychopathic strategy, but I don't think it really works because Israel has repeatedly demonstrated that they're willing to do these kinds of bombings and massacres for basically no reason whatsoever, so it's not really scaring anybody out of acting against Israel, it just pisses people off even more and generates even more anti-Israel sentiment and even more Hamas fighters. Israel would have had to have shown literally a nanogram of restraint up to this point for the atrocity propaganda (in the literal sense of the words) to be effective as it would have been this terrifying, new development.
And of course, it's not a sustainable strategy anyway because killing civilians just generates more fighters with nothing left to lose. Studying how these kinds of wars reveals that mass civilian murders just doesn't function as a strategy even if you're completely heartless and willing to go there. There's a reason why almost every country which the Europeans previously used these strategies on (concentration camps, cutting off limbs for slight infractions, etc) is now independent and aren't still enslaved under their rule, and it's not because of the grand gestures and speeches of Woodrow fucking Wilson.