Ranvier

joined 2 years ago
[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 30 points 1 year ago

It's already happening

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 10 points 1 year ago

The Labor Party boycotted the vote and its members were not in attendance. The Arab parties voted against the measure.

Some more important context for people.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Yeah, I get the joke, but this map does not show what people are implying it does, if grindr is even down at all.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 6 points 1 year ago

No, a population heat map means it's darker over the cities. There's more reports in Chicago than say, middle of nowhere Montana because there are more people there to report. This map is reporting the locations people are when they report it is down. And the circles get bigger and darker the more reports from that area. So if it was down everywhere, you would see the biggest circles over the biggest cities, and smaller circles in smaller cities, just like in this map. You see NYC, Boston, Chicago, San Fran have the biggest ones, and then smaller cities like Minneapolis have smaller ones.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 0 points 1 year ago (7 children)

Uh, that just looks like a population heat map, and Chicago would blend in with Milwaukee on this.

I get the joke, but it looks like it's just having problems everywhere.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 18 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

You don't need to be hospitalized to get all the antivirals. In fact, that's the whole thing paxlovid is supposed to prevent. Anyone with risk factors can take paxlovid, and it's very effective at preventing severe covid. It should be started as soon as possible, not waiting until someone's already hospitalized. Even in unvaccinated people, if taken early in the course, is 90% effective at preventing severe disease.

Remdesivir is the one that's generally only for hospitalized patients, though even that can be used pre hospital too.

Anyways point is, if you get covid, and have risk factors for severe covid, call your doctor or urgent care to get paxlovid to take if you can, especially if you're unvaccinated.

And yeah between getting diagnosed quickly, getting paxlovid I'm sure, and being immunized, Biden will very likely be fine.

Edit: yes he started paxlovid https://www.npr.org/2024/07/17/nx-s1-5043814/biden-covid

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Talking about it won't make it happen. But political action can't happen if it's not talked about! We're again at this impasse where according to your view point, no one is allowed to stake out a political position unless there's already a certainty for it to pass. How is anyone supposed to build consensus and improve support for something like that? More people from any party, whether that's democrat republican independent or a third party, supporting your position is a good thing and makes it more likely to happen. Running on a platform and popularizing it is political action. And "republicans don't like it" is generally the obstacle when you're talking about democrats passing a law yeah. Because they get elected to congress too and can vote against it (or worse the president). I'm not claiming every democrat supports it, obviously that is not the case. But getting more and more people to adopt the position is how you get to the political action. Politicians staking out a position and then people voting for the ones whose position matches your own is how this whole thing works.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 3 points 1 year ago

Yes, that's true. The poll averages themselves haven't moved much either though. And the reliance on the fundamentals forecast has me nervous, but they definitely do it for a reason. When they developed the models and looked at poll history the pattern they found was the fundamentals had a big influence on what the polls would look like closer to the election and the eventual result. Polls closer to the election are more predictive than the fundamentals. Polls farther away from the election less so. There's at least some reason to think things have changed enough maybe the fundamentals aren't as fundamental for this race, but I guess we won't know until afterward.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 7 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

Yes and Medicare, Medicaid, the children's health insurance program (chip), the affordable care act, all passed by Democrats. And there's now three states with their own public option, all passed by Democrats.

I don't understand why you don't want politicians talking about things you support more. I wish the public option and Medicare for all were brought up even more. Talking about it less doesn't make it more likely to happen, even if you're not sure if the votes will be there to do it I the next cycle. If politicians who support Medicare for all keep doing well in elections, other politicians will see that and adopt that position too Then hey maybe enough someday will finally get elected they can get it all passed together. Politicians love passing stuff, it makes them more likely to be re elected. FDR didn't get re elected four times by doing nothing.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 6 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (5 children)

Okay, so if the goal isn't accomplished in 4 years, politicians are no longer able to mention it again, got it.

And he can't do either of these things congress would be require for both. Neither are promises.

I don't think Sanders and AOC would be pushing so hard for Biden to stay the candidate if they didn't think he was the best way to get policies they approve of in action.

[–] Ranvier@sopuli.xyz 8 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (7 children)

So according to you, politicians aren't allowed to express their opinions on any issue or propose any policies, unless they have the ability to foretell the result of all the upcoming elections, to know exactly who will be elected and if there will be enough support from the other 535 people needed for making laws. Got it.

So we will run on nothing and say nothing about any possible policies until we already know it has happened after the election, just to be safe. Dems will win in a landslide for sure, running on this message of we won't say.

And I assume you are upset with every politician who ever proposed something that then didn't happen. Bernie, AOC, how dare you mention single payer and then don't make it happen.

Look, breaking a campaign promise would be if a politician is running for a position, that position has the power to do something and then they don't do it. The president cannot make a public option out of thin air. It must be passed as a law. They have some influence for sure. But a broken campaign promise would be congress passed a public option, sent it to Biden's desk, and then he vetoed it. That would be a broken campaign promise.

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