MeepsTheBard

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You sound really sure about your understanding of statistics and probability, and I don't think anything I can say can impact that. I'm going to defer to the experts, but you do you I guess.

The thing about long-term predictions (at least ones that get publicity) is that usually the goal is to change them, so few have been "proven". No one is printing stories about how an isolated set of rocks is going to be decayed by X% due to weather, because no one cares.

Except birth rates aren't physics that will progress if left alone, they're dominated by cultural choices that are impacted by economics and governmental policy.

Exactly. Those are the factors that are being considered when making these predictions. If economic factors and policies are making it harder to have kids, then birth rates drop, which is what we're seeing now. What else is going to have as much of an effect?

These predictions don't exist to take bets on. They're not scrying into the future. They're just binoculars that point to where we're going.

Mental illness is illness. If someone had a physical disability that made even going to physical therapy difficult, we'd expect more resources to be directed to help them get there to improve their lives. Or at the very least, we'd have enough empathy to say "damn, that sucks, and it isn't your fault alone."

I genuinely hope you never have to experience a mental health that gives you a real perspective on how that deep depression feels. But I also hope you show basic empathy to people struggling. It's a boomer mindset that's trickled down to us.

No, they just need to be kept in that context. We trusted science on chlorofluorocarbons impacting the ozone layer, and chose to fix it rather than let it keep going. Was the projection "wrong" because CFCs were regulated, or did we just interact with it in a practical way?

The same applies here. There's a population issue that (as you mentioned in another comment) without other factors, will come into effect. China can fix it, or let things play out and see if the "unknowns" can fix it for them.

"AI isn't good enough to replace workers yet, but it's good enough to convince CEOs it can."

I'd respectfully disagree. The X people Twitter communities are for people who grew up within the context of their race to talk about things that are relevant to that race.

A lot of blackpeopletwitter posts wouldn't "do well" (receive upvotes) if they are presented to a general (mixed race) audience, simply because the majority of people may not relate to it. Therefore, there is a demand for black voices to speak to black voices. This extends to all races--my wife is Mexican, so I'll hop into latinopeopletwitter on occasion.

So why stop whitepeopletwitter? Unless there's something exclusionary/ problematic/ Nazi-adjacent happening, it seems like a good way for stereotypical white peeps to make dumb jokes about meatloaf. Micro blog memes has a similar-ish vibe, but that's mostly because the site is mostly white lol.

"But there's no such thing as "white culture" in the same way that black culture in America developed from having their cultural identity taken away, and being forced to create new traditions to navigate slavery, civil rights, and modern America! They already have cultural traditions tied to their country of origin, like Germans or Irish celebrations!"

Yup! But the concept of "whiteness" is becoming a thing, and it's fun to make memes about. That's all.

You're correct, and I agree. It does shift dems to the right slightly. But again, it's hyperbole to say dems are now "radical" on the border, which is what I was responding to.

Feel that. The hivemind on Lemmy can be brutal (coming from Reddit), since it's a smaller community.

So now the dems endorse the radical rights position on the border. You don't see how that's an issue?

Equating "letting the opposition party fuck themselves as they try to pass a bill THEY don't even want" to actively endorsing extreme policy is hyperbole.

At a very surface level you're correct, but using that to state that the entire democratic party has abandoned their morals is absurd.

As someone who deals with business analytics/ budgeting, "not meeting sales expectations" is a 1:1 translation to "bad sales." Sony has R&D, manufacturing, and other "static" costs that need to be recouped with more unit sales--decent isn't enough when you're balancing everything around great.

(This translates to much of peak-covid -> "post"-covid business decision backlash. So much short-term thinking based on the economy being temporarily on crack with everyone at home).

I think they were commenting on how people seem to be zealots for Firefox on Lemmy, despite having some (reasonable) flaws. Despite this news, I'd bet a lot of them will continue. Not a pro-Chrome stance by any means.

(I had to block the Firefox and Linux subs day 1 because of how much anti-Chrome/ anti-Windows I saw).