Kichae

joined 2 years ago
[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 18 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Hah!

Companies tried to make this a thing 20 years ago, and people just dropped the middle-men like hot potatoes. Bitly thinks it'll be different this time because people have become used to using their service, but all of the pressures that had people using link shorteners in the first place have already fallen by the wayside.

This probably isn't going to end well for them.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 2 points 6 months ago

Indeed. Though, it's a little more complex than that for spells or attacks that use multiple dice. The interactions aren't linear, and the overall effect when using large dice pools is actually subdued.

Inner Radiance Torrent, at Rank 2, does 4d4 damage, and E[4d4] = 10. But E[4d4c1] = 11.5, rather than 12.5.

Things get even weirder with larger dice, since cascading provides the potential for more rolls, but done at lower dice sizes. E[1d6] = 3.5, and so E[4d6] = 14. But E[1d6c1] works out to be about 15.9, so we're gaining less than 2 damage. A Rank 3 Fireball has E[6d6] = 21, while E[6d6c1] = 23.875, a gain of less than 3.

And this is lower than the naive expectation, because E[1d6e1] = 4.083 and 4*E[1d6e1] = 24.5.

Compare this to increasing the die size. IRT would have an expected roll of E[4d6], which, again, is significantly higher than 11.5, while Fireball at 6d8 has E[6d8] = 27 (vs 23.875). So, this is providing a comparatively small boost.

But, of course, this all assumes fair rolling. When you see what's happening at my table -- which I believe is mostly caused by less than vigorous rolling -- the difference gets even smaller. Assuming a 50% chance of getting a 1 (so weights of [3, 1, 1, 1] on a d4, or [5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1] on a d6), we end up with E[4d4c1*] = 11, and E[6d6c1*] = 23.25.

The game-impact:enjoyment ratio winds up being quite high. Much higher than I had expected.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 15 points 6 months ago

Trump has been LARPing as a mob boss his entire adult life. This makes sense.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 9 points 6 months ago

They gots them at the bulk barn here. And a tub of the candies.

I bought a fistfull to use as D&D monster tokens last week

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 2 points 6 months ago (1 children)

So, like, 2d4!/2d4x? Or is it 2d4!4? 2x4?

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 8 points 6 months ago

Difficulty speaking, severe tension running through my shoulders, neck, and jaw. Fist clenching. A lot of rocking with some spastic shaking. Very similar to what you've described, save for the sweating.

Sometimes, I'm actually able to dissociate myself from them, so I can sit there and mentally call play-by-play while my body remains locked up and over-stimulated. That's a bit of a wild ride.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 2 points 6 months ago (3 children)

Not that I've seen, but again, my breadth of experience isn't all that great. You'd have to define the number of dice, the number of faces, and the cascade trigger though, so something like [N]d[F]c[T] could work, e.g. 1d6c6 or 2d4c1.

A similar notation with e instead of c could be used to denote exploding dice.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 2 points 6 months ago (3 children)

If what you mean by centralized apps is apps having a default website, or a hard-coded website that it accesses, then that's also going to lead to centralizing the website.

The fediverse is just the web. It's not really suited to an app-first model of operation. Like, imagine having a blog-viewer app that only let you read one blog. We see this kind of behaviour from the business world, and people kind of hate it.

The only reason it would be different here is if the network collapses, and if it does, it's going to collapse into lemmy.world.

Which, apparently, is a "deal breaker".

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 15 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Trump may not be aware of P2025. Not because he hasn't been told, repeatedly, about it, but because he has the awareness of a pile of sterilized garbage.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 3 points 6 months ago

They call it a 'Boston Left' for a reason.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 3 points 6 months ago

The Bosox contract is wild, especially considering he was clamoring for a long term deal. But it's probably a reasonable bet, if his body holds up for the next 3 years, that he'll be able to squeeze an extra $50M out of the following 3. And if his body doesn't stand up, those opt-outs were going to kill him.

[–] Kichae@lemmy.ca 1 points 6 months ago

No, that's not true. The big email providers absolutely block smaller and personal hosts. There's a whole system of features and options you need to install and support in order to get through the door, thanks to spammers.

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