InvertedParallax

joined 2 years ago
[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 9 points 1 year ago

It actually has, but this is more public while their long term forecast is really dark.

If they cut costs more they should be fine, they're basically in a similar place as amd but with no consoles but more defense and government contracts. Also they lost this round of hyperscalers which might be one of the last.

Amd is better off because they started in a bad place (piledriver) and have done an incredible job fighting their way back to the top, so their overheads are lower.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 32 points 1 year ago (1 children)

This happened before, IBM sold global foundries to amd, who used it till they went broke and spun glofo off.

They had problems keeping up on tech, but they did spin a ton of defense silicon happily.

Intel fabs unleashed could be a second path, right now I would probably not consider a tape out to anyone other than tsmc, or maybe Samsung, but Intel might be an option.

The only issue is: I think they'd probably be assholes, I suspect they used to be to their internal customers, that's why things like their fovea chiplets got caught for a decade in their internal politics during knights landing.

Tsmc are good to work with, you trust them and they try to make sure your design will work. Intel would have a lot of work on the libraries and other stuff (which they should have done more on with the altera integration) before I'd trust them to handle my design.

The smart move would be to work with some clients to generate portability libraries for their IP to make it easier to come over from tsmc.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 24 points 1 year ago

It's worse than that. Russia knows they can never use nukes preemptively, it's why they have their policy.

Russia is one of the most centralized countries in the world, everything revolves around Moscow, all political and economic power, all administration, without Moscow they know Russia is dead.

The whole point of a nuke is that it eats cities, their paranoia that Moscow would be hit during the cold War was extreme, they put incredible amounts of money into air and missile defenses and demanded carve outs to the abm treaties specifically for Moscow.

Because Russia isn't a country, it's an empire ruled from Moscow, and it Moscow was destroyed it would instantly cease to be a country.

Basically, if things reached a point where Moscow's control over the rest of Russia was at risk, that's when you'd see them start to negotiate.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

The US has the entire coast of China surrounded by military bases, which could be used to cut of China's trade routes, which is an existential threat to China because their economy is so dependent on exports.

What is it with you people?!?!

"it's not fair that the US DARES to talk to other countries anywhere near us!?!?"

This is the exact same excuse putin used for invading Ukraine, because no country is allowed to make their own decisions on who they talk to unless Russia and China get a veto.

We have power they cannot begin to comprehend, they need to learn a lesson from Putin, "Don't start nothin, won't be nothin", because if there's one thing the US is famous for, it's ending wars definitively.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Uhh, my experience must be different than yours.

I grew up surrounded by hicks who were still furious the North invaded them to take away their freedoms! (to keep slaves)

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 2 points 1 year ago

The thing with Hitler: He still considered himself a patriot, even he didn't solicit financial support from Germany's worst enemies.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 2 points 1 year ago

Most of those weren't anything to with Boeing.

The Max was a stupid, stupid set of mistakes, really the line needs to be cancelled, and they need to tear the manufacturing management down to the studs.

But Boeings used to be the safest plane, until they bought MD, which made some of the least safe planes this side of Tupolev (A plane so fast it can take you all the way to your grave in 5 minutes).

Let's fire all the shit managers from the merger and start again. Better yet hire one of the senior managers from Lockheed and have them go to town with a blowtorch.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 2 points 1 year ago

They won't, their options already vested a decade ago.

It's like seeing the light from a star thousands of years ago, they booked the earnings from slashing engineering and nailed their compensation package.

All it taught them was to be careful to get out at the peak.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 1 points 1 year ago

Generally they apply through the state party, often because they know someone.

Otherwise it's connections through the polisci programs, the professors help them get their resumes out, or again the state parties do.

For more powerful offices it's mostly the professors at gt, jfk, Yale, etc, then they recruit people they know and trust from home, scions of rich donors who went to the right schools.

For lower power offices and representatives you basically just send your resume and their chief of staff reviews it like any job. They also have a ton of interns, similar process, influential offices use connections, lower offices get whats left. Finally there's the page program, connections help to get in, professors often encourage kids to apply.

For the lower levels a lot of it is energy, the jobs barely pay and they're miserable, so anyone who volunteered on a campaign has a good shot for a freshman congressman whose seat wasn't heavily contested.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee -1 points 1 year ago

That's not it, that's what Russia is trying to pitch to discourage Ukrainians.

The actual answer is less evil and more sad:

We weren't prepared and when the war started we didn't think Ukraine would fight, we figured they would lose in a month or 2.

When your whole geopolitical assessment is blown out of the water, you tend to move forward cautiously, because at the level they operate, cautious is always considered the right move with so much at stake.

Plus, domestic politics means committing makes it a political issue, and as a political issue, the dems could lose the election on this alone. If the Russians actually understood us they could use this in ways you couldn't imagine, but fortunately their tools are still crude.

[–] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 3 points 1 year ago

I'm all for giving Ukraine everything it needs to teach Russia a lesson that they can't forget.

But while I disagree with it, I still understand their fear of a humiliated Russia, they're erratic at the best of times.

Still, they broke the peace of Europe, the price they have to pay for that is blood, and it is very high.

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