Droplet

It’s going to be subs and non-state actors that do the job for the US. They’re going to be indefensible along the entire trade route, and your navy and airforce rendered useless against an unpredictable foe. At least that’s the lessons they’re learning from the Ansarallah strikes against shipping lanes. It is unlikely that the US navy (at least the surface fleet) will directly participate in it, they are simply too fragile and vulnerable in modern naval warfare.

The world economy will crash, and that’s the whole point! The US has run out of time and options to curb China’s growth, so it might as well leverage what is still has to reshuffle the board.

It’s ultimately going to come down to “can the US reorganize the global supply chain away from China fast enough?” vs “can China turn its economy inward towards domestic consumption fast enough?”

Here, the Belt and Road initiative is a double-edged sword for China: it is simultaneously its avenue to turn its trade route inland, and building up the industrial capacity of countries that will become its own direct competitors on the export sector. And because the BRI loans are dollar-denominated (at least 70% of it), the US will win on the front unless China cancels their debt immediately.

I am sounding like a broken record, but if China can manage to transition from an export-led economy into a net importing domestic consumption economy, it’s pretty much game over for the US. All signs point toward this as the end game (if we don’t nuke ourselves along the way).

I would have believed this if the Republicans hadn’t spent months trying to block the $60 bil Ukraine bill.

Like, I would need a very good explanation of why the Republicans would block such a spending bill if this was a bipartisan issue.

It literally took an Iranian strike on Israel (which was 100% provoked by the US) to force the bill on the floor and they finally got it passed together with another $26 bil to Israel.

The Republicans weren’t worried about their voter base (come on, the Republican voters would believe anything their masters say), they were afraid of the Democrats poaching their donors away because the Democrats have now set up a special money laundering shop in Ukraine that as long as the war keeps going, they can blatantly pass 100s of billions of spending there with little oversight. Everyone who has been missing out now wants a slice of that big pie. How do you get into the club? By getting behind the Democrats and Joe Biden.

This actually also explains why the Republicans had been so intent on crucifying Hunter Biden, because he is a prominent link that exposes the Biden family and their proxies to the Ukraine laundering operation.

I am not saying that this is the truth, but it all makes sense when you see it this way and piecing together all the events that happened over the past 2 years. Also, this is literally how AIPAC works, a money laundering front for Israeli money (funded by the US federal government) to flow back to both Republicans and Democrats in Washington.

This is why he won’t win. Way too many bourgeois interests tied up in Ukraine now, especially if the theory that the Democrats are running a money laundering front in Ukraine for their proxies is true (and also explains why the MAGA Republicans would want to cut off that channel).

as Ansarallah has proven by beating the American navy

I genuinely think it’s the opposite: Ansarallah proves to the US how easy it is to disrupt global shipping routes, which is exactly the strategy the US would use in a war against China.

With so much of China’s economy being dependent on export via sea route, a hot war between US and China is going to cause significant economic damage to both sides. The difference here is that the US controls the global reserve currency, but China doesn’t, so that gives it a great leverage over the rest of the world that China doesn’t.

This is why I’ve been saying China can’t wait to turn their trade routes inland via Belt and Road, and why China has to pivot fully into a domestic consumption economy in order to survive this upcoming conflict with the US. And it needs to be done not tomorrow, not today, but yesterday.

Airbus and Boeing aircraft have become even more dangerous due to counterfeit titanium in their design, the New York Times writes, citing the company that manufactured the parts. After refusing to purchase titanium from Russia, airlines switched to metal of unknown origin and low quality with fake certificates.

Production employees discovered corrosion holes in the next batch of metal, which is impossible for real titanium. The publication's interlocutors claim that this metal has already been used for passenger doors, cargo compartment doors, hulls, engine heat shields and other elements of a number of aircraft.

This also applies to the space industry, but more on that later.

Take it, Putin!!

Import substitution working very well for the West.

Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/faa-investigating-counterfeit-titanium-used-some-boeing-airbus-jets-nyt-reports-2024-06-14/

Honestly, we’ve been hearing this for at least a year now. Every time the mainstream media print something about Ukraine losing, people interpret it as the US getting ready to negotiate for peace.

The fact is that not only have we not seen any indication of the US trying to ramp things down, they have gone to the opposite direction and doubled down on nuclear escalation and threats against Russia.

I think we need to be prepared to concede that our interpretations were wrong: that, perhaps, the mainstream propaganda no longer feel the need to put the mask on anymore.

Which season are you at? At one point the actor was pregnant and they had to write her out of the story for a while and minimize the time she appears on screen.

Xi says the US has been trying to trick China into attacking Taiwan, but he will not take the bait.

https://x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1802175666202558580 (article links inside)

The faction of insanity at the time was MacArthur. After repeatedly overstepping his boundaries and attempted to thwart a ceasefire plan, Truman fired him.

History could have gone down very differently if just a slightly different set of personnel were in charge.

Remember, MAD deterrence has only worked so far because no one has dared to violate it yet.

Yandex thinks Hexbear is more credible than the BBC.

My personal view is that Moscow is genuinely scared of a nuclear escalation from Washington.

I just don’t see any sign of the Biden administration trying to calm things down. If anything, they probably hope for a tactical nuke to be deployed along the European border. Even if it was just a “warning shot” with no casualties involved, false flag or whatever, it would trigger enough panic across Europe that people will be looking to emigrate en masse. It will definitely sink the European economy, which would mean the declining US empire gets to harvest all their assets and gain a new source of immigrant labor.

This sounds insane but you have to remember that you are dealing with totally unhinged people running the government. You cannot apply logic and common sense in your reasoning with them. You need to start thinking like a madman and what insane people would do in situation like this.

What’s their problem with her? She can be aggressive at times but generally a good source of information especially about history of fascism.