Good points.
you should consider moving to Facebook or Threads, maybe?
Not an option
As for the rest yeah those do seem like genuine obstacles. Partially think the reason I liked the algorithm is because it reminded me of the Web of Trust things like Scuttlebutt use to get relevant information to users but with a lower barrier to entry.
Also as I've said elsewhere it doesn't have to be this exact thing but since this is a new platform we have the chance to make algorithms that work for us and are transparent so I wanted to share examples that I thought were worthwhile.
Edit:
You’d also turn Lemmy into the strongest echo chamber you could possibly create.
PS. I don't think that's true. Big tech companies that have more advanced algorithms would probably be much better at creating echo chambers.
Is that possible?
Staring a community might be a really cool idea to help with this.
Do you have any tips on how I could get started?
So lots of naysayers, who may even have excellent points, but can’t contribute or help you improve.
I've noticed this quite a bit among people I talk to and honestly just doesn't help move the conversation anywhere meaningful.
Thanks for engaging with the premise.
social media sites shift their business structure so that users have to pay for social media usage, but in return they get no ads
I don't think this is that likely just since they would probably lose their young audience pretty quickly especially since that audience would have to rely on their parents paying for the service which I find unlikely.
I was thinking of putting peertube there instead but I didn't think that there'd be an easy solution to getting around hosting costs of video over this short of a period or getting creators to begin moving to that platform when there are upfront costs to posting videos there, less of an audience, and no clear way of gaining consistent revenue which they already have a problem with on Youtube.
Yeah, I do think that Nebula and even stuff like Discord are going to go through the cycle of enshittification but I think that people will still choose to go on those platforms at first and then eventually start moving to alternatives that are more built up later.
Trends that I am missing or inconsistencies in the timeline. Stuff like that.
ignoring several long running trends in technology adoption and user behavior
Which ones?
I honestly don't think that any big company nowadays can collapse (look at how Digg is still a thing) but I do think that they can shift their strategy on how they monetize their users or more generally present content on their platform (like YouTube with shorts). That's partially why I didn't say the fediverse was mainstream and also why I didn't say that those media companies would collapse but instead made a point about where they might try and get their money from instead if advertising dwindled.
Also, I said this wasn't a prediction and made the timeline with a foregone conclusion.
Idk. This is my first time doing it so maybe?
Agreed. Also, does the axolotl mean anything?
Edit: Also since this is the closest post that I've found related to this topic. Is anyone here interested in a community where people make story-based forecasts for the future of something true today but won't be in the future? Here is an example I did recently