Oh no! Not my unregulated degenerate gambling!
this post was submitted on 04 Jan 2026
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I'm willing go bet a lot of people making weird bets like this are doing the equivalent of insider trading. The whole concept of betting on random news is ripe for the opportunity for people with insider knowledge to always win big off of the losses of gambling addicts.
That's the point of those platforms, to bribe the people with that knowledge to reveal it.
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This is the least of it. Representatives entire families are set for life. Somehow, everybody in their family gets stinking rich after election, and their book is always a "NYTimes best seller" because they are bought by the campaign (and dumped in a landfill), insider trading is rampant, super-PACs.
I'm okay with someone in the military picking up some extra cash. Family has to eat, whether government is "shut down" or not. I hope it was some smart ass buck private.
In the USA politics is the number three easiest way to achieve "financial security", only inheritors and prosperity gospel preachers have it easier.
It's not fucking military leaking unless they came in with Drunk Pete Hegseth.
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Can we all go on polymarket and start a betting pool that Peter Thiel will not be violently assassinated by the end of the year?
Bad people don't die. The more evil you absorb the longer you live. Like Kissinger living to 100.
I suspect it's the lack of stress due to being a sociopath. Not caring about others has to make life pretty easy in some respects.
Bad people don’t die
Selection bias. Bad people die all the time, and then we forget about them (or never learn about them) because they stop being in the spotlight.
Nobody talks about the Koch Brothers or the Waltons anymore, as they've degraded to irrelevance. Nobody talks about the Carnegies or Fords or Hoovers anymore, for the same reason.
Steve Jobs was an evil fuck and he's gone now, so he's off the radar.
Meanwhile, nobody had Lucky Palmer pegged as a sociopath ten years ago and now he's doing James Bond Villain tier war crimes.
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When there is no punishment, the system must be working perfectly.
You have to be an idiot to gamble at these sites. I already feel like an idiot for having money in the stock market with all the insider trading, but thanks to inflation you're fucked if you do and fucked if you don't.
The stock market is a global suicide machine, change my mind
It's a ponzi scheme supporting millions of people's retirements, myself included.
Ideally we have social security, which is a much more regulated and carefully managed ponzi scheme but the people in power use it like a piggy bank because it's not like they're going to be around when it runs dry.
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Polymarket, Kalshi and others are Insider trading systems camoflauged as a "Truth Seeker" but at the end, It is a gamble even worse than a gambling casino. The insider trader has a incentive to stack odds against oneself and "beat" a better likelihood in the market. Even as a truth finder, It works at the last second before the actual reveal.
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Well yea, is it not blatantly obvious to everyone that bad actors will use this "bet on anything" bullshit to grift the system?
I'm certain the people who run the websites know this and don't give a shit, because it's profitable.
The weird thing is that it provides OPSEC to US opponents. Simply watch polymarket for a yolo bet
This is the most important comment on the issue. It's pretty much giving US secrets away ahead of time.
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I still want to know who made $$millions shorting American and United Airlines before 9/11.
It was $5 million, and the money is unclaimed on the Chicago stock exchange.
Someone has to know who placed the order.
all that is confidential unless SEC form 4.
The obvious question is: what other bets did they make? (though those may of course be decoys)
How does one bet on random things like this. What’s the website? I have a few predictions of my own…
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