this post was submitted on 22 Jul 2025
43 points (100.0% liked)

Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

7136 readers
353 users here now

Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

Anti-science, inactivism, and unsupported conspiracy theories are not ok here.

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
 

The paper is here

top 1 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] Thedogdrinkscoffee@lemmy.ca 5 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Until we get to net-zero emissions, extreme weather will only get worse, and it’s already damaging crops and pushing up the price of food all over the world,” Kotz, who also works for the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, said in a press release about the study.

With all due respect, until at least 20 years after we get to net zero emissions things will get worse. There is a roughly 20 year lagtime between heating and emissions. We are feeling the maximum of 2005 emissions today. If we stopped emitting today, by some magic, things would continue to get worse until at least 2045.

Unless, of course, the scientists were correct in that beyond 1.5C- 2C GAT we trigger tipping points, like the clathrate gun and polar ice caps, to name a few, that create positive feedback loops of non-anthropogenic emissions in which case it will continue to get worse no matter what we do for as long as those positive feedback loops exist. A hothouse earth that is incompatible with humanity and megafauna.

Kotz is softpedalling this so as to not scare the children. He and the Potsdam Institute know exactly what is going on.