This is a surprise. And a disappointing one. A week ago it looked likely that Labor would win 3 Senate seats in all states apart from Queensland (where One Nation slot itself in) and Tassy (thanks to Lambie). And now in the final stretch, One Nation also picks up WA and even NSW‽
this post was submitted on 30 May 2025
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One Nation picks up surprise NSW Senate seat for former British soldier Warwick Stacey
(www.theguardian.com)
Yeah, it's not great.
I'd look to explain it as part of the flight of voters from the Liberal party, but would people who were turned off by Dutton really choose to vote for One Nation instead?
I think, unfortunately, it's probably genuine gains by PHON, and unlikely to just evaporate at the next election.