He sure does sound alarmist. But the problem is he is looking at the actual data, as it is coming in realtime. The disadvantages of the larger orgs is that they are very sluggish. Because climate is inherently sluggish, but also because it serves certain entities.
The reality is we don’t need to wait another 5 years, before we can confirm we have breached 1.5ºC of warming, because by that time, we may very well have added another 0.5ºC.
There was a video recently by “Just Have A Think” on YT that also used the insurance industry’s numbers and whichever you read from whichever industry or country, they all make even the most conservative climate scientists sound like stoned hippie optimists.
As they say: the reality lies somewhere in between, but that still means: you’re saying goodbye to the absolute best February you’ll ever have in your life, and so is your child.
And once we run out of the surplus of food production, you won’t care about how many degrees we’re past 1.5ºC.