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Nice. This implies that these businesses are concluding that Ukraine is going to win - or at least, not lose - and will therefore retain its sovereignty. Their investments wouldn't be safe otherwise.
This sort of thing is why betting markets are so good at prediction. Experts can pontificate and analyze all they want but at the end of the day a betting market requires people to put their money where their mouth is.
I still often wonder to what extent the tail is wagging the dog. If enough money is riding on an outcome, does money go towards ensuring that outcome?
Clarification: I would welcome it in this case, but I am interested in hearing from anyone who knows about betting markets generally affecting outcomes.
Oh it's surely calculated into the outcome already!
If we invest massively, then they will win and we'll reap benefits.
Spending money to make money 🤑
I would imagine it's not a problem if the betting market is small compared to the things being bet on. In this case you'd have to manipulate the long term outcome of the Ukraine war to win a few tens of millions of dollars, which seems unlikely.
That's entirely clear, at those levels. Absent some kind of chaos theory hypothesis, you'd need billions of dollars in motion to motivate that kind of action.