this post was submitted on 22 Apr 2024
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Image is from this Washington Post article, which shows the Shabara artisanal mine, where cobalt and copper are dug out by hand.


This preamble got much of its information from this article in ROAPE, and this article in People's World.

Countries in the imperial core have increasingly advocated for Green New Deals, whose primary goal is to re-attract manufacturing capability to somewhat counter deindustrialization, and then export some of this renewable energy generation to other countries to gain profit. Just as the initial wave of industrialization was built on massive resource exploitation of coal and iron and then oil, this wave is being built on exploiting metals like lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements. The DRC is one of the best case studies on the planet for understanding the new dynamic.

The DRC is, to your average Western country, a resource bonanza. It is the 11th largest country by land area, and contains lithium, copper, and cobalt in massive quantities, famously containing two thirds of the world's known cobalt supplies. The Western world and their institutions swarmed the DRC like piranhas, dismantling the Congo's sovereignty over its natural resources. China was not terribly involved in the privatisation process, but has stepped in to benefit from the West's work - Chinese corporations account for 40% of the production of major Congo cobalt projects (and 15 out of 19 cobalt mines), with Switzerland at 30% via Glencore, and Kazakhstan at 22%. The US, for whatever reason, withdrew from majority ownership of some projects in the mid-2010s, but is now anxious about China's position in the cobalt markets. Western countries in general have spent their time lately drawing up critical minerals strategies both to keep capitalism chugging along in their own countries, and attempt to weaken China, which invariably involves the Congo.

The Congo has attempted to resist imperialist encroachment. In 2018, the Kaliba administration asserted a new Mining Code which raised tax and royalty rates and increased state ownership in mining firms from 5% to 10%, and these changes were bitterly resisted by the West right to the end. Since 2019, under the Tshisekedi administration, the government established the state-owned EGC, which sought to take control over the processing and export of artisanal and small-scale cobalt production, which comprises 5-15% of cobalt production in the Congo. More recently, Tshisekedi is planning to move up the manufacturing chain - instead of merely mining cobalt, they want to refine it there and then make electric vehicle batteries and other such products with it, which would be an industry worth trillions of dollars. But so far, there hasn't been much movement away from having mining exports as the backbone of the economy, and it's doubtful that plans to just keep doing this until they get rich enough to build refineries and factories will work. The profits mostly go to Western countries and have failed to produce significant benefits for Congolese workers, nor resulted in the emergence of domestic industries so far. Reforms will help a little, but only a little, and they remain fundamentally constrained by the markets and the whims of the West.

Meanwhile, war and mass displacements have put immense stress on the country. There are 7.1 million displaced people in the DRC due to various conflicts and mass displacements - most recently, the war between the Congolese army and M23. Hundreds of thousands of people continue to be displaced every few months, and across the whole country, over 26 million require humanitarian aid. 6 million people have died in the eastern DRC in the last three decades, with hundreds of armed groups, both domestic and foreign, battling for resources and territory.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

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Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Neptium@hexbear.net 39 points 1 year ago

Your weekly Chinese propaganda slop by the Global Times.

Regarding China policy, the Philippines is the outlier in ASEAN

The shift in the attitude of the Philippine government toward the US and China should not come as a great surprise. The Philippines has long been closer to the US than any other ASEAN country. In 1951 it signed a defense treaty with the US, has been host to five US military bases, and the two militaries enjoy a very close relationship. The Philippine government's submission to the Hague tribunal on the South China Sea was a result of close collaboration with the US, which was, in effect, its joint author. However, the unexpected election of Rodrigo Duterte as Philippine president in 2016 changed the dynamic. Duterte refused to support the Hague judgement and instead expressed a desire to distance the Philippines from the US and strengthen ties with China, ultimately undermining the Hague judgement.

After his election as president in 2022, Ferdinand Marcos Jr. initially went through the motions of supporting Duterte's position, but since has engaged in a monumental volte-face. Behind the scenes the US had made a huge effort to secure the shift, which was hardly surprising given that Duterte's position had seriously undermined its policy in the region and weakened its alliance system. Marcos Jr. is the opposite, happy to do America's bidding and be a willing instrument of US policy. In two short years, the Philippines has become a proactive participant in America's military alliance system, agreed to host four new US military bases in addition to the existing five, participated in talks with the US and Japan in Washington earlier in April, and is pursuing an increasingly provocative position against China in the South China Sea.

Since its turn against China, the US has been highly active in seeking to reframe and extend its military alliances in East Asia. It talks of moving from the previous hub and spokes model to a lattice-like network involving closer cooperation between the various partners, as can be seen in the case of South Korea and Japan, with the latter increasingly seen by the US as its crucial partner in the region. This month and next sees the first-ever joint military exercises inside the Philippines's EEZ, involving the US, Australia and the Philippines as well as Japan as an observer, in what can only be regarded as a deliberately provocative act.

Meanwhile, Marcos Jr. has abandoned Duterte's status quo policy on its disputed claims with China in the South China Sea and made the BRP Sierra Madre, the rusting hulk on the submerged Ren'ai Jiao, also known as Second Thomas Shoal, which was deliberately sunk there in 1999, the central focus of its territorial claims. There have been clashes between Chinese coastguard ships and Filipino resupply vessels. There are signs that the Philippines is seeking to transform the reef by transporting construction materials to the site of the BRP Sierra Madre in violation of the previous understanding with China. And there are moves afoot to introduce domestic legislation designed to codify Filipino demands. The US has reaffirmed that Article IV of the 1951 US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty extends to armed attacks on Philippine armed forces, public vessels, or aircraft - including those of its Coast Guard - anywhere in the South China Sea.

The steadily deteriorating relationship between the US and China is liable to rear its head in any number of areas. The South China Sea is hardly a new subject in this context. But it now threatens to return with a new vengeance. The US is not a party to any of these disputes but, by explicitly extending the terms of the Mutual Defense Treaty with the Philippines and to include the latter's territorial claims and BRP Sierra Madre, the US is showing a growing willingness to become directly involved in the territorial disputes in the South China Sea.

In contrast to Marcos Jr., the other nine members of ASEAN continue to enjoy a very positive and expanding relationship with China, including Vietnam, which has a contentious relationship with China regarding the South China Sea. Of the other claimants, Malaysia has become increasingly close to China. The Philippines is the outlier bar none in ASEAN. As we saw earlier, however, the Philippines has become increasingly divided over China. Duterte, who was a far more popular president than Marcos Jr. is, has clashed with Marcos Jr. over China. Meanwhile Duterte's daughter, Sara Duterte-Carpio, Marcos's vice president, is highly popular and will almost certainly stand in the next presidential election in 2028. She is already very much the front-runner and is politically close to her father.

Whatever the future may hold, we are in increasingly dangerous waters. Marcos Jr. is little more than a US puppet, willing, it would seem, to do whatever the US might propose. One of the most concerning aspects of this is the increasing involvement of the Philippines in America's military strategy toward Taiwan. One of America's central concerns about Duterte was that, while he was president, the Philippines would resist being conscripted to its pro-Taiwan positions. That is no longer the case. On the contrary, the Philippines could agree to move closer to Taiwan in the manner of the US' other allies.