this post was submitted on 22 Apr 2024
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I don't think that will be an issue. In the US, most batteries are warrantied for ten years/100,000 miles, which means they confidently go longer. I believe most batteries are also cell based, so failure isn't 100%. Probably just a shorter battery life. Lots of people will be fine driving with a shorter range.
There are also used batteries and battery recycling. Plus in ten years there will be new technology, efficiencies in production, etc.
These vehicles will probably follow the same life cycle that most do. Being passed down from new owners to used, etc.
This is in fact the only coherent argument for why US electric vehicles all have such absurdly huge ranges - so that they still have decent ranges even when old.
EV battery recycling is already a thing. Hopefully the relevant authorities start putting out some standards for battery packs to keep them at least somewhat recyclable though, since that's getting to be a problem given that every single auto manufacturer seems to be building custom packs for every car.