Four_oh_fore_error comments on Discussion Thread: 2024 Democratic and Republican Presidential Primaries in Michigan

Functionally two incumbents in the ballot

Incumbent A: pulls 85% and has 15% for some amorphous “other”

Incumbent B: pulls 66% and has 30% actively for a named competitor

It’s clear who’s in trouble and it’s Candidate B.

[–] WhyEssEff@hexbear.net 45 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

the logic that 15% of your state's party base actively voting for "no one you are offering, fuck you" being more optimistic than a divided electorate between candidates, one of which will inevitably fold and endorse the other upon which their broader voter base will be absorbed, is entirely unserious motivated reasoning

[–] WhyEssEff@hexbear.net 23 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

do they not think that ≤80, fuck, ≤90% of Cruz primary voters held party line in 2016. this is your brain on believing never-trump republicanism to be a mover and shaker in american politics

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