the_dunk_tank
It's the dunk tank.
This is where you come to post big-brained hot takes by chuds, libs, or even fellow leftists, and tear them to itty-bitty pieces with precision dunkstrikes.
Rule 1: All posts must include links to the subject matter, and no identifying information should be redacted.
Rule 2: If your source is a reactionary website, please use archive.is instead of linking directly.
Rule 3: No sectarianism.
Rule 4: TERF/SWERFs Not Welcome
Rule 5: No ableism of any kind (that includes stuff like libt*rd)
Rule 6: Do not post fellow hexbears.
Rule 7: Do not individually target other instances' admins or moderators.
Rule 8: The subject of a post cannot be low hanging fruit, that is comments/posts made by a private person that have low amount of upvotes/likes/views. Comments/Posts made on other instances that are accessible from hexbear are an exception to this. Posts that do not meet this requirement can be posted to !shitreactionariessay@lemmygrad.ml
Rule 9: if you post ironic rage bait im going to make a personal visit to your house to make sure you never make this mistake again
view the rest of the comments
It's a prediction market. It's kind of the inverse of normal gambling - instead of the ticket price being fixed and the payout being based on how many people bet that, the ticket price is based on how many people bet that and the payout is fixed. This also allows you to do stock market shit to your bets. It also means that the percents should be an accurate probability because of the efficient market hypothesis.
One of the various flaws of these things is that all of the bets are made by the sort of person who'd believe in the accuracy of prediction markets. So pseudo-intellectual, easily swayed by a semi-technical explanation, second option bias, believes in the efficient market hypothesis.