Lmao the last time I went looking for this chart was around August, I didn't expect it to still be so bad. We're going to be experiencing unprecedented oceanic ecosystem collapse if this continues and that's just the tip of the iceberg (proverbial of course, since there won't be icebergs around for much longer)

[–] Philosoraptor@hexbear.net 23 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

Yeah, we were all expecting this year to be substantially warmer than 2022-2023 because of ENSO, but this is significantly worse than most of the models predicted. That seems to be turning into a trend. Our current 365 day running average for air temperature is 1.51 degrees C above the pre-industrial baseline, which most models thought we wouldn't pass for another ~10 years. Not good.

[–] Adkml@hexbear.net 16 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Its really frustrating that scientists have been as un-alarmist and conservative as possible with their estimates and all their models to avoid being written off as unserious and a bunch of people who don't understand that science really trys to avoid definitive statements have used that to simultaneously argue it won't be that bad and they're a bunch of crazy alarmists.

[–] HexBroke@hexbear.net 14 points 2 years ago

2010: Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 degrees C is a worst case scenario and very unrealistic

2020: we are tracking RCP 8.5 https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2007117117