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In my city, it can be hours to get police to come take a report if it's a petty crime like theft or vandalism, and that's if they show at all. That could skew things if it's happening elsewhere as well. If you d9nt get to report the crime, it's like it never happened, but your perception of crime will be higher.
If reported theft and vandalism declined, but actual theft and vandalism increased, then that would mean that the reporting of theft and vandalism would have had to have decreased significantly during the past few years. I can think of any reason why that would be the case.
Sorry, to be clear, you are responding to someone positing a reason why that would be the case, so you could at least acknowledge what they said in your reply…
The Council on Criminal Justice wrote a piece recently that mentions that there was a significant decrease in violent crimes reported to police in 2022, which is more or less what they said. As for other possible reasons, The Marshall Project says that the FBI just changed the way they collect their data and “missed nearly 40% of police agencies” in 2021, and then just tried to model what the crime rate would have actually been for the 40% of their respondents that were missing. So there are real and tangible issues with recent data. And all data, but especially recent data