this post was submitted on 23 Nov 2023
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Chicago Bears

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[–] work4work4work4work4@alien.top 1 points 2 years ago

The part that fucks this analysis as far as I can tell is there is no real controlling for ADOT, which is one of the biggest factors on interceptions impact. Getting picked on a 3rd and Bears deep shot can be effectively a punt, while getting picked on underneath and behind the line of scrimmage stuff usually goes house, and the teams play calling can have a massive impact on what's more likely.