this post was submitted on 07 Nov 2023
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https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/israel-hamas/2023/11/07/netanyahu-israel-plans-to-control-gaza-after-hamas-war-ends/71486260007/

But Novik said that any such plan would require something that is just not realistic: a willing partner.

"There is no third party that is going to take responsibility for Gaza and release Israel from the burden of occupying it long term with its 2.3 million Palestinians. It's just not going to happen."

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[–] zifnab25@hexbear.net 11 points 2 years ago

When was the last time a war went the way anyone thought it would?

Iraq 1 under Bush Sr.

Kosovo under Clinton.

Even Afghanistan went reasonably smoothly (give or take a certain "oops we lost our guy in the mountains of Tora Bora, oh well!") for the first five years of invasion and occupation.

We likely could have gotten away with occupying Afghanistan indefinitely, if we'd just bombed the fuck out of Iraq, carved up the Sunni triangle and handed it to some combination of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and New Kurdistan, then scampering away under a Mission Accomplished banner. But Iraq was supposed to be the launchpad for our invasion of Syria and Iran. Rumfeld thought that this was going to be a new beginning rather than the graveyard of American empire.

Gaza is, if nothing else, small enough for Israel to just bulldoze through. This isn't a massive mountainous hinterland or a wide windswept desert. Its an oversized slum, with guns pointed at it from every angle. Gaza residents don't really have a chance against an Israeli invasion. Not if they really are just going to go house-to-house and murder everyone.

If Germany could get a stranglehold over Poland in the 1930s, Gaza doesn't stand a chance in the 2020s.