this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2023
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"But we have seen that this does not work. What is needed is a broad range of measures that make it easier for people to build a future in their own country, instead of having to look for opportunities elsewhere, and to have the number of children they desire."
That's pretty much it, make housing affordable again so that people can feel safe enough to have children
https://ifstudies.org/blog/higher-rent-fewer-babies-housing-costs-and-fertility-decline
This post argues that housing costs are a factor, though also not the main one (rather, they find that the main factor is declining marriage rates, which is probably harder for policymakers to change).
Thanks for this link - plots fit my expectations, very useful to quantify such correlation factors. However the examples are only for 'developed' countries - would be interesting to see similar for rest of the world. How are the trends in African cities, for example ? Maybe indoor living space (for kids to play) is more important in cold climates (or when there are too many cars on streets! ) ?