this post was submitted on 09 Sep 2023
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A recent preprint paper examines the minimum number of people required to maintain a feasible settlement on Mars while accounting for psychological and behavioral factors, specifically in emergency situations. This study was conducted by a team of data scientists from George Mason University and holds the potential to help researchers better understand the appropriate conditions …

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[–] AEsheron@lemmy.world 6 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

I recall a similar study years ago. They concluded 32 was minimal viable, assuming a strict breeding regiment over several generations, with 8 men and 24 women. They also concluded about 500 would be the smallest practical size, given people aren't robots and losing even a couple people before leaving the breeding pool would be very bad. That was a fundamentally different study though, looking at long term, self sufficiency. This one seems more focused on an Antarctica like outpost that would be able to cycle people in and out, and not establishing a full on colony.

[–] NeoNachtwaechter@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

Antarctica like outpost that would be able to cycle people in and out, and not establishing a full on colony.

Thank you for pointing out this detail of possibly returning!

We might be able to travel to Mars in a few years. But it will take many more years before anybody can travel back from there.

Mars has a gravity similar to earth. In order to leave the planet we need to launch rockets from there, about the same size as we launch from earth. And therefore we need to build lots of stuff there and operate it properly.

The first 'colonists' will have to go with the expectation of never returning.