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Ok, I think I get it.
The USA president is elected every 4 years by the Electoral College.
The Midterm Elections are for everyone else basically that are supporting the president in the first 2 years and then hopefully the elections are good enought so he can get support for another 2 years. And writing this, it seems that if he get suppport for another 2 years after the midterms, there is an increased chance of the next president to be of the same party.? Weird
You're getting there, but I caution you to not go too deep down the rabbit hole, it will make you crazy.
There's a weird thing that happens with Midterms. When a new president takes over, the opposing party often gets motivated late, and goes on the attack in the Midterms, often resulting in the President losing control of the House, causing massive headaches for the next 2 years, and threatening his reelection.
This was big after Obama's win, with Republicans (the Tea Party, proto-MAGAs) flipping the House in a big way. In 2022, Trump expected a Republican landslide due only to history alone, and was really pissed when the historical trend didn't pan out.
So here we are in the classic situation - a very unpopular president going into the Midterm with every reason to believe he's facing bloodbath. It is very likely that the House will flip, and perhaps even the Senate, which was thought to be safe a few months ago, but is now facing a legitimate threat.
Trump could lose BOTH Legislative Chambers, who both have investigative committees with subpoena and arrest powers. He will certainly have no chance of passing any legislation that allows him to stick around for another term.
Right, that's why there's so much emphasis on middterms. Fingers crossed he gets arrested. Haven't seen so much corruption out of Africa and South America since the early 90's.
Next level shit.