166
Putin’s spring offensive in Ukraine has begun. Experts warn Trump has given Russia a window of opportunity
(www.independent.co.uk)
this post was submitted on 30 Mar 2026
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Yeah, that is a very risky bluff to call.
It's clear that Russia is not nearly as powerful as anyone thought, and there's good reason to believe their nuclear arsenal is either severely neglected or was mostly bluff to begin with, but you can't be sure. And any war on Russian soil is going to be hard no matter what.
Do kick Russia out of Ukraine; that's an unjustifiable war of conquest that needs to be reverted. But make it clear that you won't set foot in Russia and don't pose a threat to Russia itself. That way you give Putin no excuse to go nuclear, and no reason for the Russian military to obey him if he does.
That's the reason in my proposal only the UK and France will enter the war if Putin rejects it. If many countries will enter the war, Putin would say he is being overwhelmed and has to go nuclear.