this post was submitted on 10 Feb 2026
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Last year, the first stage was similar (with one big climb more in the first half, and one small climb less in the second half). I thought Pedersen would do big things on that stage, but nothing happened and it ended with a rather large group sprint. And Pedersen did his big thing on the day after, on a much flatter stage which I believed would 100% end in a sprint...
So I don't know about this year 😀
Well, the 3^rd^ stage will normally be a sprint, either a mass sprint, or a group sprint if the wind creates echelons in the Rhône valley (last 50 km).
The 2^nd^ is a mountain finish, so it shall determine the GC winner among climbers and rouleurs-climbers.
Remains the 1^st^ one. If I repeat my thoughts like last year, I would say it is either for a breakaway of small riders (here, small == without a chance for GC == cannot climb at all), or for punchers. But having learned my lesson, I will add that unless some big rider/team is really wanting to make a mess of this stage, as it is the first stage and all sprinters and their teams will be fresh, they have the ressource to neutralise the race in order to have a sprint in the end.