A lot of replies here (obviously from people not already aware of The Discourse on this point) were genuinely confused variants on "But why, they're right, that's a valid concern." Let me leave a short thread for future readers explaining why that stuff is always unwelcome on here. (1/n)
It's totally understandable if you're dooming about any facet of the American experiment right now. So your feelings are "valid" in the sense that they represent real anxiety, and I get that. But to vent that anxiety in other people's spaces is wrong for three reasons.
First, it's factually wrong. There will be elections in 2026 and 2028 under Trump, just like there were elections last year under Trump and during his first term. This despite one of the two major parties now harboring a lot of anti-democratic elements and ideas.
I'm not particularly interested in convincing anyone on this point and won't try, the future is the future. But if the left side of the political spectrum is still the domain of scholarship and expertise, take note that you don't find scholars and experts you worrying about canceled US elections.
Second, and probably most importantly, it's tactically wrong. "No point discussing political opposition to fascism, there won't be elections anyway" cedes victory to your enemies. It's defeatism and nihilism.
Finally, it's wrong AS A MATTER OF ETIQUETTE. Entering a total stranger's discussion and leading with your private anxiety is as off-putting in social media replies as it would be in real life. If you wouldn't interrupt a stranger at a party to announce that America is doomed, don't do it here.
If you are anxious and sad about the state of the world, that's fine, and there are plenty of strategies for dealing with that. But I think you already know that drive-by online dooming isn't a strategy. It's selfish and adolescent. It's a contagion that only spreads the worst of you, not the best.
Take a second and think before posting the easy Eeyore reply. You might have something substantive to say instead. Or, even better, you can say nothing at all.
https://bsky.app/profile/kenjennings.bsky.social/post/3mbuedepurs2x
I do believe there will probably be elections (and that they'll do everything they can to make them unfair).
But to think there's a 0% chance Trump could move to cancel elections is naive at this point. Add it to the mile-long list of things "he'll never be able to do" that he has done. He's literally already threatened to do it.
If Trump calls to cancel elections, and some red states don't hold them, the.correct response is "ok, you have left X seats vacant in congress.", which would be worse for Republican power than a 20-point D swing. (Especially since it makes the 2/3ds vote for removal after impeachment correspondingly lower.)
If Trump rolls out ICE to physically stop elections, then we're in a state of violent civil war. Which cannot be collectively planned for.
This isn't abortion or gay marriage being overturned by the court. It's a very straightforward bright line whose precedent was set during the US civil war, and there is zero benefit to spending any time spreading the presumption that cancelled US elections mean MAGA peacefully stays in power.
Trump has already called for cancelling elections. He use his normal prevarication bullshit like "People say I should cancel elections. You should cancel elections, but I'm not going to say it" or some doublespeek nonsense.
There is no such thing as a given "correct answer" in this scenario. While it is constitutionally true that elections are up to the states and 100% within each state's purview to manage and control, what there will be is chaos.
Complete chaos at every level, including all the seats up for grabs that do or do not see their individual powers and responsibilities transferred peacefully, and the states that want to have elections now having to wage an inner political battle just to carry on in the face of some sort of presidential cancellation.
You write as though red states are red and blue states are blue and they can be expected to act that way, and you're dead wrong. Red states have solid blue urban centers and blue states have large unbroken swaths of rural red, and every election is a surprise in this regard. Even hard red areas in Florida have been going solid blue lately. Who even knows where the lines are anymore?
Add to that the fact that this is not just about who goes to Washington: it is also about judges and coroners and water board commissioners and county taxes and boards of education and everything else from local to federal, and the people who are due to vacate those positions, and those who would like to have those position or at least keep others out of them.
So for every state that actually tries to have an election after some kind of election-canceling fuckery from the orange pedo, there will be an in-state battle over when and how and for whom, which some states will win and some will lose, and the line between winners and losers will NOT fall neatly between red and blue. The line may not even fall at all, meaning that this scenario could easily start political battles that never end and simply play out in court for decades to come.
To reiterate, EVERY item to be voted on in the 2026 mid-term elections has a battle ahead of it: referendums that need direct resolution, bonds that need approval, taxes that will be levied or not levied, candidates at every level that want to gain power or stay in it, as well as other forces that will absolutely want to make a meal out of the situation, not to mention propaganda (much of it foreign) that will seek to control the entire public narrative for its own ends.
The ONLY certain outcome of cancelling these elections is chaos. It is literally impossible to say how any of that will shake out at this point.
Your "correct response" take is incredibly naive. If you want to believe that what will be left after the orange shitheel sabotages elections is some central force that ignores everything else on the ballots while it calmly divvies up local, state, and federal positions and somehow neatly keeps the empty seats empty for those who would have been elected but were not, feel free. But it's a total fantasy.
You're jumping the chaos a whole generation of facts early. And mangling two distinct foot-guns from the American right.
Sure, Trump could trigger a violent civil war. But so can King Charles. And just like with Parliment, the game for what happens is entirely known--and makes his own gruesome death more likely than any other action he could make
Either MAGA participates in an election they might lose, or they trigger a civil war they would likely splinter over. Whether that civil war is against a nominally elected Congress of non-MAGA states or against the governors of non-MAGA states is almost a moot point.
The only thing that makes any chaos possible from Trump calling for an election delay is internet chattivists insisting that his blathering would have some chaotic effect.
Elections of non-local jurisdiction aren't ran by local areas. If Florida or Texas cancels elections their blue urban areas go as unrepresented as their red ones, and if red localities in California or New York try the same they wind up with Democrats winning a bunch of seats they otherwise wouldn't.
Sure, you might have some members of the current Congress try to retain their seats, but absent an election 100% of the House and 1/3 of the Senate become private citizens in January. They could fuck around and help Trump start his civil war, but there's no "chaos" there. It's a very short constitutional crisis, that either ends in the unelected losers going home or the same violent civil war Trump could start tomorrow by claiming that the DNC is a terrorist organization.
And a violent civil war would have plenty of chaos, but none of it would be electoral.
All of that presupposes the existing order continues uninterrupted in the event no elections are held, with a whole lot of other suppositions and ridiculous assumptions thrown in.
Let me list a few, such as "unrepresented" areas because current seat holders would just go home: even the Virginia AG who is not an AG and has been ruled as such by the appropriate court hasn't gone home.
And "Democrats winning a bunch of seats" in elections that do not take place. How does that work?
And assuming that winners of Congressional elections would even be sworn in and seated by a speaker or Senate leader who stands to benefit by not having enough members left for quorum, as Mike Johnson has already done with Adelita Grijalva: why not just swear in some and not others, or none at all, since there is no rule book anymore, as they are already doing?
Or even that there would be the political will to treat the situation as a "constitutional crisis" that can be legislated out of, when in fact there is NO adherence to the Constitution anymore anyway and they are doing whatever they like, again as we are already seeing today.
Thinking that critical parts of the system will hold when others are torn down the middle, or even more bizarrely that there is direct line from your version of a canceled election to an outright "civil war" is nothing short of delusional. If you want to go find people to kill because elections have been sabotaged be my guest, but actual civil war, with civilian armies bearing arms and leaving their homes to go and shoot each other, takes far more provocation these days. It's not 1860 anymore.
It's far more likely people will remain at home because any civil war will NOT be geopolitical, another concept you seem to struggle with: there are no lines on the physical map anymore where, when you go there, you know what they believe. You just think you do.
As I said in my prior comment, believe what you want. But you write fantasy well, and this is more of the same.
Blocking you now on the grounds of sheer insanity. My reality may be shit, but at least it's tangible.
Wow. What a committed dooner.
Since this very depressed person says they've blocked me there's no reason for me to respond to them, but if you're casually reading this I would like to point out that the poster demonstrates some dramatic ignorance about US politics. Specifically:
It's an unelected US Federal Attorney who is refusing to vacate their position. There is a federal AG who is a member of the President's cabinet, but the state of Virginia directly elected theirs in off-cycle years, and Democrat Jay Jones was just elected for a term starting Jan 14. It's entirely ordinary for the lame-duck incumbent to still be in their position, and even to be a bit of a nuisance on the way out.
Each two-year Congress starts when a simple majority of elected reps meets literally anywhere,.with the first order of business as swearing in new members and establishing the rules for the new Congress. There's very solid precedent for what to do if some don't show up or even if there are no house re-elects: the recent days-long impasses over Republicans picking a speaker, for example.
While MAGA does appear to be a fascist group willing to ignore rules, it's also one built on a theory of constitutional authority and American democracy. There is no precedent for them ignoring elections, even the ones they don't like -- just the various traditions and courtesies that are entirely outside the constitution. If Trump tries to cancel the 2026 or 2028 elections, expect that some currently-MAGA allies and voters would harshly react against them. (Especially with the already-apparent fault lines over the Epstein Files.)
I think that it's much, much, much more likely than civil war or cancelling elections to just expect the sort of harassment and bad-faith shenanigans that has already been done, both in pseudo-aoarthide states like Texas and in "purple" states where Republicans hold jerrymanderrd legislature but lose statewide elections.
You are of course free to make up your own mind and even be a doomer like @ChunkMcHorkle@lemmy.world . But I don't think obsessing over the eminent breakdown of American democracy is either health or useful.
Please for the sake of the rest of the world just collapse already, this farce is getting pathetic. And preblaming "doomers" is laughable.
Trump thanks you for your dedicated service.
Not american, not a trump fan. You had and have your chance to fix things, but if placing everyone you talk to into one of two camps helps you sleep at night who am I to judge.
Oh wait, I am fully capable of that, hope you have insomnia instead.
It's not about if you're a fan. You're helping him with your extreme doomerism. You're one of the ones he was talking about when he said he loves the uneducated.