this post was submitted on 03 Jan 2026
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[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

That would be bad news, because then a US-Venezuela war (as opposed to a series on one-sided strikes) would still be on the cards.

I don't know enough about Venezuela to make a good guess.

There's also the question of how quickly (if quickly at all) they could organize reasonably un-manipulated elections. An armed attack has likely triggered special circumstances in Venezuela, and nobody can demand elections right now.

If Maduro's allies try holding on to power, it could end with faction A ruling one province and faction B ruling another...

[–] Gsus4@mander.xyz 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I don't think this is a Lybia scenario, but it may happen is that ~~many~~ all SA leaderships get spooked by this and start hiking military investment and cooperation...