this post was submitted on 06 Jun 2023
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I do have to wonder if Reddit knows something we don't... This is.. wayyy too much to ignore. I assume they've done analysis of the worse cases and mass user departure. The only reason I can assume they're not backing down is due to the very high upfront costs of Reddit. Less users = less costs which theoretically means more profit. You have a very good point, and its something all Lemmy server owners need to be prepared for, which is a huge influx of users joining on the blackouts, even then, it may not be enough, unintentional DDOS attacks are still DDOS attacks. This is a golden opportunity of a lifetime for Lemmy, but I fear with even a 10th of Reddits current userbase, Lemmy admins won't be able to keep up... I feel for all the developers and admins that make Lemmy possible, and I really hope it goes well for everyone involved. Donate to server admins and the main project if you have a few dollars spare, or if anyone is comfortable with coding I'm sure they need some devs.
Reddit knows they have sudo access, and that ultimately the upset users are not that large, just fairly vocal, and won't miss them. They're probably planning to let this play out and know they can force the subs open again with new moderators if it comes to it. I think they're banking on most users merely being annoyed that their favorite subs are closed for a day and then forgetting all about it.
if they are it's a good approach: look no further than climate protests for how people get when they are even mildly inconvenienced even though it's the literal existence of the planet we're talking about there. a lot of ordinary people love protest--as long as it literally never affects them in any way, and they never have to see it or hear about it. they're probably not going to like it when it's something this... banal.