this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2023
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chapotraphouse
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I give it 95% chance. Biden may have had a 4.5% lead in the popular vote in the last election but that's ~3% less than what the polls predicted and he only won by 44k votes across 3 states. Considering his further growing unpopularity, I expect another 2016, though it's not impossible Trump wins popular vote as well if president Walking Dead tries to put himself out there.
If Trump wins, I really hope he alienates Europe enough to pull out of their engagements with the usians. I doubt that'd kill the rabid pro-NATO fervour but at least they might resume buying gas from Russia.