UK Politics

4492 readers

30 users here now

General Discussion for politics in the UK.
Please don't post to both !uk_politics@feddit.uk and !unitedkingdom@feddit.uk .
Pick the most appropriate, and put it there.

Posts should be related to UK-centric politics, and should be either a link to a reputable news source for news, or a text post on this community.

Opinion pieces are also allowed, provided they are not misleading/misrepresented/drivel, and have proper sources.

If you think "reputable news source" needs some definition, by all means start a meta thread. (These things should be publicly discussed)

Posts should be manually submitted, not by bot. Link titles should not be editorialised.

Disappointing comments will generally be left to fester in ratio, outright horrible comments will be removed.
Message the mods if you feel something really should be removed, or if a user seems to have a pattern of awful comments.

founded 2 years ago

MODERATORS

tom@feddit.uk

GreatAlbatross@feddit.uk

flamingos@feddit.uk

frankPodmore@slrpnk.net

Chief of the Defence Staff speech: 'A new era for defence means our whole nation stepping up' (www.gov.uk)

submitted 2 days ago by frankPodmore@slrpnk.net to c/uk_politics@feddit.uk

4 comments fedilink hide all child comments

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments

[–] Zombie@feddit.uk 4 points 2 days ago

Fuck me, it gets worse.

While simple, bold statements and timelines can act as a rallying cry, the reality is that it is more complicated than that. Last year Tony explained that our analysts argue that “there is only a remote chance of a significant direct attack or invasion by Russia on the UK”. “Remote” in this context, still means an up to 5 per cent risk, and that only refers to the UK. The world’s largest crowd-sourced forecasting site, Metaculus, suggests there is a 16% probability Russia and any NATO member state are in direct conflict before 2027.

Metaculus is an American reputation-based, massive online prediction solicitation and aggregation engine.[1] One of the focuses of Metaculus is predicting the timing, nature and impact of scientific and technological advances and breakthroughs.[2][3]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metaculus

It's a fucking crowd source guessing machine. Clearly ChatGPT pulled it into his speech as a source because why the fuck would anyone of his supposed stature regard crowd sourced data on such a topic as relevant or accurate?