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We need to understand here that the real danger isn't that someone is going to put out a video of Trump saving an armload of orphans from a burning building and it will be so convincing that everyone believes it, or that someone is going to make a "secret recording" of Zohran Mamdani talking about plans to do nine-hundred and eleven more 9/11's, the real problem in the short term is that this technology is going to inject a seed of doubt or plausible skepticism into everything we see, read and hear.
Do you work hard all day, all week and only have time for watching political coverage a half hour a week like so many Americans right now? If you don't know shit about the people running against each other, and there are very convincing videos of each of them saying radical, crazy bullshit or beating up puppies, you're not going to say "Hmn, this can't all be real, I should dig deeper." Nobody fucking does that. We have to stop pretending that the average person has any desire to sift through raw sewage for kernels of edible corn.
No, they will turn it all off. They will shrug and just vote randomly when the time comes.
This is very evident by our previous federal election cycle, where we had some of the highest voter and youth voter turnout in US history, yet exit polling showed over and over that most people had no idea what the candidate's actual positions, history or qualifications were, most voters said they couldn't decide between Harris and Trump. People who stood behind Sanders voted for Trump. People said that at least Trump seemed "genuine" which is really true. The man, despite lying and cheating and being a giant asshole, he does seem genuine about it, and people don't know what else to turn to.
This is how AI and technology like algorithms and atomized perspectives are going to subvert democracy in the short term.
In the long term, advanced AI will be able to manipulate your thoughts and feelings like you're a fucking chicken being hypnotized by drawing a line in front it's beak. It will know all your backdoors, hacks and overrides for you specifically and be able to predict all your patterns and thoughts that you think are soooo unique and personal. We're so fucked.