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Look, if he can facilitate a lasting peace in the Middle East (without turning Palestine into a golf resort), he deserves the thing. But the idea that he can force an agreement and then get a Nobel two days later is flat out dumb.
It's not like an Oscar, which is only given for this year's movies. They give it out for major achievements that take years (decades?) of hard work to achieve.
The idea he deserves it for facilitating "peace in the Middle East" even if this does stick is ridiculous. We helped fund and arm a genocide. Forcing the people being genocided to finally acquiesce to the genociders we supported is a wild way to interpret him as deserving of a Nobel peace prize.
This MLK quote says it all: "True peace is not merely the absence of tension, it is the presence of justice". If the US had sided with the nazis and helped them "establish peace" by keeping all the territories they held and allowing them to continue their policy of concentration camps, is that also deserving of a Nobel peace prize? He is personally responsible for a huge rise in fascism, the decline of a democracy, and fomenting violence and hate which have already lead to deaths. Nothing he does for the rest of his life can change his impact to something positive and I would hope the committee, which I don't even take seriously considering their previous picks, can see that.