this post was submitted on 15 Sep 2025
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"On their own" is a hyperbolization on my part. But compare how half of Europe scrambled their jets along with US to shoot couple hundred Shaheds from Iran coming to Israel, to Dutch generously deciding to send couple F-35's to protect actual NATO member after 3 years of biggest war in Europe since WW2 raging just next door, and to that add in US still planning to withdraw troops from Europe.
I just call that same thing will happen when article 5 gets invoked again - instead of "attack on one is attack on all" there will be couple of actually responsible allies helping and everyone else dragging their tails with stuff like "we'll go in if everyone else goes in" or whatever.
I think NATO is aware that this is very likely just a russian trick to probe Polish air defense and make NATO keep more of their military equipment for their own defense and send less to glorious Ukraine.
However not just the Dutch are sending stuff. Some have stuff already there and some will send more:
Given the situation, I think it's a good reaction to not get distracted too much, but also get ready. If russia moves forces to actually invade Poland, they will lose quicker to Ukraine and NATO can send even more to defend Poland. If not, Ukraine will get the support to beat the whole of the russian troops.
//edit
Source: https://archive.ph/dp6u5