Technology

It will definitely crash because it's being kept afloat by VC money right now. Once that dries up and these AI companies start raising their rates to generate a profit companies are going to realize the AI is way more expensive than an actual programmer. It's also not a question of recognizing quality because companies have all kinds of metrics in place explicitly for trying to measure program quality (usually poorly, but what they do measure incredibly well is how many bugs software has and how long it takes to deliver new features).

While AI can deliver code quickly not only is that code low quality and incredibly hard to fix it's also riddled with both obvious and subtle bugs. The QA departments are going to be working overtime and scaling up massively to try to keep up with the pure crap the new vibe coding departments are going to be churning out. The executives won't be able to tell if the code is low quality, but they will be able to read the reports showing they went from a month to deliver a new release with a 10% defect rate to two months to deliver a release with a 50% defect rate, and it's still costing them nearly the same amount despite a significantly reduced head count.