this post was submitted on 11 Aug 2025
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Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Carolina, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia, Wyoming.
We need 5 of those to flop to Democrat, without a single Democrat seat flopping.
Seats I think they maybe could able to win: Maine, North Carolina.
That would put Republicans at 51 seats + the VP That's assuming the Dems fill all the empty slots as well and keep the independents agreeing with them.
North Carolina is a reasonable bet with Tillis announcing he's not running again and Cooper announcing his run.