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1/4 to 1/3 at most. Remember most eligible voters don't vote.
EDIT: it's also worth noting that many can't vote. Like voting day not being a public holiday and they cant get off work, mail-in not being available, public transport not being free on voting day, or simply being purged from voting rolls.
Voter turnout in the 2024 election was 63.7%. That's still a lot of folks who didn't vote, but it's not "most."
But of the total adult population, only a minority votes. 63.7% is only of the registered voters.
I got the number from this page: https://ballotpedia.org/Election_results,_2024:_Analysis_of_voter_turnout_in_the_2024_general_election
which lists it as "eligible voters," which is in turn based on data from here: https://election.lab.ufl.edu/2024-general-election-turnout/
which discusses the methodology:
So no, it's not just registered voters. It's their best estimate of how many people are old enough and not disqualified.
Not voting when the stakes are this high is as shitty as voting for Trump. Plus approval statistics don't care if you voted or not.
If anything, more than half of Americans suck at this point.
It's also worth noting that many americans are prevented from voting. Cannot get time off work, polling station too far, mail in not available, purged from voter roll.
It's still crazy to me that voting day is not a public holiday in the US and that all public transport is not free on that day.
In France voting day is always a Sunday to prevent issues like this. It seems very anti-democratic to not make sure that almost all the voting population can find the time for it.
His poll numbers are still in the 40s