Electric Vehicles

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Electric Vehicles are a key part of our tomorrow and how we get there. If we can get all the fossil fuel vehicles off our roads, out of our seas and out of our skies, we'll have a much better environment. This community is where we discuss the various different vehicles and news stories regarding electric transportation.

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Sunshine@piefed.ca

Goodbye Oil Changes: What 40–80% EV Adoption Will Look Like (cleantechnica.com)

submitted 3 days ago by Sunshine@piefed.ca to c/electricvehicles@slrpnk.net

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[–] bluGill@fedia.io 9 points 3 days ago (1 children)

while not wrong things will not be significant that fast. The average car is 12 years old and so there will be many years of enough still on the road to support existing cars.

Stations will greatly slow down building new gas pumps soon, but existing pumps are a sunk cost - you won't tear them out without good reason as the money they make is still a nice addition to the bottom line for most stations..

Spare parts often are available long after any new car uses that part - there is a lot of money in autoparts and so someone will make then for 15-20 years to get the market, OEMs keep their molds around just to makes spare parts for years. Modern cars the drawings are electronic so they can make new ones (at a cost) even without the molds. A machinist doesn't care if the part is for a car, custom drum kit, or a widget factory - just will you pay them.

Eventually gas cars will be colletcors items with fuel spercial ordered. however that will be many years yet,

[–] Tobberone@slrpnk.net 1 points 21 hours ago

While I agree in general, the decline of gas stations started long before now. The first reports i can find about the rapidly declining number of gas stations are from the later part of the -00s. Back then it was because cars had better mileage, but it also highlights that petrol stations don't go bust because 100% of customers disappear. They go bust because 100% of the profits disappear and if the profit margin is only a few percent, that doesn't necessarily take much at all.

There are other factors as well. When a commodity goes from a high volume, low margin commodity to a high value necessity, prices will start to come up.

I also wonder what happens further up the production chain. It isn't just cars that are affected, transportation is too. The big push right now is for electrified heavy road transport. And if dents are made in that sector, the real high volume fuel, effects will be seen in everything from transportation to agriculture.

As for car parts, SAAB went bust in 2008 and there are still plenty of those around. However, that was before the digital revolution, so they are easier (not easy) DIY cars. Finding dealer specific experts with required skills and software is harder for newer cars.