this post was submitted on 22 Jul 2025
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With all due respect, until at least 20 years after we get to net zero emissions things will get worse. There is a roughly 20 year lagtime between heating and emissions. We are feeling the maximum of 2005 emissions today. If we stopped emitting today, by some magic, things would continue to get worse until at least 2045.
Unless, of course, the scientists were correct in that beyond 1.5C- 2C GAT we trigger tipping points, like the clathrate gun and polar ice caps, to name a few, that create positive feedback loops of non-anthropogenic emissions in which case it will continue to get worse no matter what we do for as long as those positive feedback loops exist. A hothouse earth that is incompatible with humanity and megafauna.
Kotz is softpedalling this so as to not scare the children. He and the Potsdam Institute know exactly what is going on.