this post was submitted on 04 May 2025
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[–] wewbull@feddit.uk 1 points 4 months ago

I always thought the was a global shift coming although in my mind it was going to be to do with the end of the oil / gas era.

I thought that as countries moved away from fossil fuels, power would shift away from the US, Russia, and Arab states. As renewables replaced oil, energy generation would become far more diverse and distributed. Each country would be able to utilise their own resources (Solar, Wind, Geothermal, Hydro) and so not have the external dependencies they currently do if they're not an oil producing nation. They would all gain stability through self reliance for critical needs.

I think we've already seen this in part with the EU disconnecting itself from Russian gas due to the invasion of Ukraine. Russia didn't have the power it thought it did over Europe because there were alternatives. The EU was able to minimise gas usage and get what it needed elsewhere.

Part of me wonders if Russia kick-started a strong independent EU and now Trump is giving it another boost with the trade war. China is trying to step into a "vacant role" which the countries are just freeing themselves from. They don't want another sugar-daddy that keeps the lights on.